{"id":50182,"date":"2026-06-25T04:20:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T04:20:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-13%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-1\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T04:20:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T04:20:31","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-13%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-13%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-1\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\uc870 \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5, 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc7ac\ubc18\uc601"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc778 101.60\uae4c\uc9c0 \uce58\uc19f\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)\uac00 6\uac1c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub41c \ubc14\uc2a4\ucf13 \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uace0, \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ub3c4\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ubcc0\ud654\ud574, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \ubd80\uc5ec\ud558\ub294 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc FOMC \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\uc804 61%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac 85.5%\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\ud45c \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c\uc758 6\uc6d4 \uc885\ud569 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI)\uac00 5\uc6d4 51.5\uc5d0\uc11c 52.2\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9\ub3c4 \uac1c\uc120\ub3fc PMI\uac00 \uc774\uc804 55.1\uc5d0\uc11c 55.7\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 54.8\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5\uc740 50.7\uc5d0\uc11c 51.3\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 51.0\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d 5\uc6d4 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\uac00 \uc2e0\uace0\uac00\ub97c \uacbd\uc2e0\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc801\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c DXY \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ub610\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc911\uc2ec \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad00\uc810\uc740 2024\ub144 5\uc6d4 DXY\uac00 105\ub97c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \ub54c \ud574\ub2f9 \ub808\ubca8\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ud604\uc2e4\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 85.5%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ubcc0\ud654\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c SOFR \ub610\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds) \uc120\ubb3c \ub4f1 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5(\uc608: \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 2022~2023\ub144 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc120\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f)\ud588\ub358 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uc5bb\uc740 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \uc139\ud130 \ub514\ucee4\ud50c\ub9c1<\/h3>\n

\ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uc778 5\uc6d4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c EUR\/USD \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c ATM(\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac\uac00\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c) \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. PCE\uac00 \uc5f0\uc728 2.7% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uac8c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacac\uc870\ud55c PMI, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\uc218\uc758 55.7\ub85c\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694\uad6d \ub300\ube44 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc798 \ud761\uc218\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub514\ucee4\ud50c\ub9c1\uc740 \ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc139\ud130(\uc608: \ub9ac\uce20(REITs))\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \uc9c0\ub09c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc45\uac00\ub4dc \ub9ac\uc5bc\uc5d0\uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\ud2b8 ETF(VNQ)\ub294 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c S&P 500 \ub300\ube44 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 101.60 \ub3cc\ud30c, Fed \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc18d \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 12\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 85.5%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1. PMI \uacac\uc870\u2026PCE \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50182","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50182","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50182"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50182\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50182"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50182"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50182"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}