{"id":50163,"date":"2026-06-25T03:48:48","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:48:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84%ec%9e%90%ec%82%b0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98%ec%84%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T03:48:48","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:48:48","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84%ec%9e%90%ec%82%b0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98%ec%84%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84%ec%9e%90%ec%82%b0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98%ec%84%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d PCE \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218\uc138 \uac15\ud654\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\ud504\ub791(USD\/CHF) \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 \uae30\ub85d"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \uc8fc\uc2dd \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc640 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub85c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\uba74\uc11c 6\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud588\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uace0\uc810\uc778 0.8100 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c \ub4a4 0.8115\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 14\uae30\uac04 RSI\ub294 74\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, MACD(\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc218\ub834\u00b7\ud655\uc0b0) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc74c(-)\uc758 \uc601\uc5ed\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc130\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc608\uc815 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\uc77c \uc911 \uacbd\uc81c\uae30\ub300\uc9c0\uc218(Economic Expectations Survey)\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 5\uc6d4 \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ud0dd\ud310\ub9e4\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. \ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1 \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc740 0.8124~0.8432\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uadf8 \uc704\ub85c\ub294 \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 161.8% \ud655\uc7a5\uc120 0.8150\uacfc 2025\ub144 8\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 0.8170\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud558\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc778 0.8740\uc774 127.2% \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ud655\uc7a5\uc120\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\uace0, \uadf8 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c 0.8040\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uacfc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654<\/h3>\n

USD\/CHF\uac00 0.8115 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc774\ubc88 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \uac15\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uacfc\uc5f4\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc5ec\ubd80 \ub610\ub294 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc870\uc815 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \uac00\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uad6d\ub9bd\uc740\ud589(SNB)\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654\ub97c \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 1.25%\ub85c \uc778\ud558\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 1.4%\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uae08\ub9ac \ub9e4\ub825 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b0\uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ubc1c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131<\/h3>\n

PCE\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba70 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub77c\uba74 \u2018\ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread)\u2019\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 USD\/CHF\uac00 0.8150 \ub610\ub294 0.8170 \uc800\ud56d\ub300\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uba70, \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc9c0\uae09 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 RSI 74 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ud0a4\uc6b4 \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(long strangle)\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc73c\ub85c, \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud55c PCE\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud574 0.8040 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ub418\ubc00\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \uc138\uc158 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc57d 2.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud574 \uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2e4\ub974\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uc18c\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcc0\uc218\ub4e4\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc810\uac80\ud558\uba70 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u2018\uacfc\uc5f4 \uacbd\uace0\ub4f1\u2019 \ucf1c\uc9c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ud504\ub791\u2026\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\ub85c 6\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9, 0.8115\ub85c \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810. RSI 74\u00b7MACD \uc57d\uc138. PCE \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, SNB \uc778\ud558\u00b7Fed \ub3d9\uacb0\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc6b0\uc704.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50163"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50163\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}