{"id":50157,"date":"2026-06-25T03:45:15","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:45:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T03:45:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:45:15","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 USD\/CAD \uc5f0\uc911 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 \uae30\ub85d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 1.4225 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c 1\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \uc2e0\uace0\uac00\ub97c \uacbd\uc2e0\ud558\uba70 1.4200\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac04 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 0.1% \uc624\ub978 101.50 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 1\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc815\ucc45 \ud589\ubcf4\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc77c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc740 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac70\uc758 86%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucd5c\uc18c \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 48.3%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 19\uba85\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0 \uc911 9\uba85\uc774 2025\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.  <\/p>\n\n<p>\ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c USD\/CAD\ub294 1.4224 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 10\uc8fc \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA) 1.3943\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c, \uac15\uc138 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 67 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\uc5b4, \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 1.4140 \ubc0f 1.3943, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 1.4296\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4 1.4415\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\uc640 USD\/CAD \ubaa8\uba58\ud140<\/h3>\n\n<p>USD\/CAD\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \ud55c \uc8fc\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0b8 \ub4a4 1.3750 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uac15\uc138\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc740 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc758 \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 105.50\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\u2019\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc740 \uc774\ub2ec \ucd08 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.75%\ub85c \uc778\ud558\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 5.50%\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uc774\uc804 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 50% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\ub8e8\ub2c8) \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uba54\ub9ac\ud2b8\uac00 \ud55c\uce35 \ubd80\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec(Core) PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud558\uba70 USD\/CAD \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \ub3d9\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 1~2\uc8fc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub85c \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uacfc\uac70 \uac00\uaca9 \uae30\uc900\uc810<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, USD\/CAD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub825\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 1.3800 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike)\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc9c0\uae09 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub458 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubcf4\ud638\uc6a9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread) \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \uac15\uc138\ub098 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \u2018\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(dovish)\u2019 \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc644\ucda9\uc7a5\uce58\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf8 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 2025\ub144 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1.4200\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub410\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 \ub2e4\ub974\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ub54c USD\/CAD\uac00 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30 \ucc38\uace0 \uae30\uc900\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub8e8\ub2c8 \ud754\ub4e4\u201d\u2026USD\/CAD 1.4225\ub85c 1\ub144\ub798 \uc2e0\uace0\uac00. Fed \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\u00b7BoC \uc778\ud558 \uaca9\ucc28 \ud655\ub300, PCE\uac00 \ub7a0\ub9ac \uc9c0\uc18d \uc88c\uc6b0. RSI \uacfc\uc5f4 \uadfc\uc811, \uc800\ud56d 1.4296~1.4415.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50157","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50157"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50157\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50109"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50157"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50157"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50157"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}