{"id":50156,"date":"2026-06-25T03:44:23","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:44:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-101-50%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T03:44:23","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:44:23","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-101-50%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-101-50%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4, Fed \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d 101.50\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \uc720\uc9c0\u2026\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uc2e0\ud638"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 101.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 7\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 36.3%\ub85c, \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804 8.5%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\ub3c4 29.1%\uc5d0\uc11c 70.3%\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n\n

\uc77c\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c DXY\ub294 \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800\ubc34\ub4dc(20) \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uacfc 100\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI\u00b714)\ub294 74 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800\ubc34\ub4dc(\uc57d 101.48)\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0, \ud558\ub2e8\uc5d0\ub294 \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800 \uc911\ub2e8\uc120(20\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0)\uc778 100.00\uc774 \uc704\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ubc29\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 100\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(98.95)\uacfc \ud558\ub2e8 \ubc34\ub4dc(\uc57d 98.52)\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc740 101.95~102.00 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 5\uc6d4 12\uc77c \uace0\uc810\uacfc \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \uacb8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc800\ud56d\uc740 2025\ub144 4\uc6d4 7\uc77c \uace0\uc810\uc778 103.54\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 2022\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc678\ud658\uac70\ub798\uc758 88% \uc774\uc0c1(\ud558\ub8e8 \uc57d 6\uc8706,000\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc744 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ucd5c\ub300 \uac70\ub798 \ud1b5\ud654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ub3d9\uc778: \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c<\/h3>\n\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 101.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc5f0\uc7a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud655\uc2e0\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub41c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 70%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \ubd88\uacfc \uba87 \uc8fc \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ubcc0\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638) \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\ub825\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uae30\ub300 \ubcc0\ud654\uc758 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \ub048\uc801\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.2%\ub85c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubaa9\ud45c(2%)\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae4a\uc740 \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc989\uac01\uc801 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc5c6\uc774 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n

\uc804\uc220\uc801 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uace0\ub824\uc0ac\ud56d\uacfc \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uad00\uc810<\/h3>\n\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\uc740 \uacbd\ub85c\u2019\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac15\uc138(\ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. DXY \ub610\ub294 USD\/JPY \ub4f1 \uad00\ub828 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub178\ucd9c\ub418\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uc7a5\uc810\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc0c1 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc720\uc758\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. RSI\uac00 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \ub610\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ud6a1\ubcf4) \uc804\ud658 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e0\uaddc \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc804\uc220\uc801\uc778 \uc811\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc870\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub824 \uc2e0\uaddc \ub871\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uac70\ub098, \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uae30\uc874 \uc800\ud56d\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 101.48 \ubd80\uadfc\uacfc 20\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc778 100.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc9c4\uc785 \uad00\uc810\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread)\ub294 \uc9c4\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ub370\ub3c4 \uc720\uc6a9\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud655\uace0\ud55c \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub294\ub370, 2022\ub144\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc DXY\ub294 90\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc5d0\uc11c 114\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ub3d9\uc778\uc758 \uc704\ub825\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4\uba74, \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \uad6d\uba74\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc30\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 101.50 \ubd80\uadfc \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\u2026\ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 7\u00b79\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\ub300 \uc790\uadf9. RSI 74 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uacbd\uace0 \uc18d 101.48\u00b7100 \uc9c0\uc9c0, 102\u00b7103.54 \uc800\ud56d \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50156","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50156","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50156"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50156\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50156"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50156"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50156"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}