{"id":50155,"date":"2026-06-25T03:19:18","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:19:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99%ec%a0%81-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T03:19:18","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:19:18","slug":"%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99%ec%a0%81-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99%ec%a0%81-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\uc870\uc640 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026 NZD\/USD 6\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"

NZD\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 6\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 0.5655\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\ub294 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8)\ub97c 3.5%~3.75% \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub97c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uba85\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \uccab \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 2%\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\uc73c\uba70, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 86.1%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ud68c\uc758 \uc804 61%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD) \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uc774\ub780\uc774 IAEA(\uad6d\uc81c\uc6d0\uc790\ub825\uae30\uad6c) \uc0ac\ucc30\ub2e8\uc758 \ubcf5\uadc0\ub97c \ud5c8\uc6a9\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud569\uc758\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc73c\ub098, \uc774\ub780 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc77c\uc815\uc774 \ud655\uc815\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uace0 \ud575 \uc774\uc288 \uad00\ub828 \ud611\uc0c1\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc218\uc11d \ud611\uc0c1\ub300\ud45c\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \u201c\uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804\uc758 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c\ub294 \uacb0\ucf54 \ub3cc\uc544\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\u201d\uc774\uba70 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc218\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud1b5\uc81c\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud574, NZD\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uad00\uacc4 \uc804\ub9dd \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45, \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ud14c\ub9c8<\/h3>\n

NZD\/USD\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc778\ud55c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc120\ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

12\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 86%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uba54\ub9ac\ud2b8\uac00 \ud55c\uce35 \uacf5\uace0\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ud655\uace0\ud574\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uac15\uc138 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2022\ub144 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c 20\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 NZD\/USD\uc5d0\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d PCE\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud575\uc2ec \ubd84\uae30\uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.7% \ub0b4\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \ud615\uc131\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c \ub2ec\uc131 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba70 NZD\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d(\ub610 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840\uc758 \ub808\uadf8 \ub2e4\uc6b4)\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uad73\ud788\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uac00\uc18d\ud560 \uacf5\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559, \uc911\uad6d, \uad6d\ub0b4 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\ubc1c NZD \ud558\ubc29 \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n

\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc640 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c(risk-off) \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \ubd88\ub9ac\ub294 VIX\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 18\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac19\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ud0c8\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub4f1 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uad00\ub828 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub294 \ub354 \uc545\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c \ud0a4\uc704\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ub3d9\uc778\ub3c4 \ubd80\uc7ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ucd5c\ub300 \uad50\uc5ed\uc0c1\ub300\uad6d\uc778 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 49.5\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uacbd\uae30 \uc218\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \ub354\ud574 \ucd5c\uadfc \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uacbd\ub9e4(Global Dairy Trade) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 2.2% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc775\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc555\ubc15\uc774 \uac00\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 NZD\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud558\ubc29 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 0.5600 \ubd80\uadfc, \ub9cc\uae30 1\uac1c\uc6d4\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc2dc \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \u20186\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d\u2019 \ubbf8\ub044\ub7fc\u2026Fed \ub9e4\ud30c+12\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 86%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac15\uc138, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\u00b7\uc911\uad6d \ub454\ud654\u00b7\uc720\uc81c\ud488\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\uccd0 NZD\/USD 0.5655 \uc555\ubc15, PCE\uac00 \ubd84\uc218\ub839.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50154,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50155","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50155"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50155\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50154"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50155"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50155"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50155"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}