{"id":50151,"date":"2026-06-25T03:17:03","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:17:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%83%81%ec%87%84%eb%90%98\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T03:17:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T03:17:03","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%83%81%ec%87%84%eb%90%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%83%81%ec%87%84%eb%90%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \uac15\ud654\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ub418\uba70 161.60\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 161.60 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc881\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. BOJ\uc758 6\uc6d4 \u2018\uc758\uacac \uc694\uc57d(Summary of Opinions)\u2019\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ub300\ub2e4\uc218 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\uace0, \ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\uc740 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud55c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ucd94\uc815 \uc911\ub9bd\uae08\ub9ac(\uc57d 2%) \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub824\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc544\uc0ac\ub2e4 \ub3c4\uc774\uce58\ub85c \uc2e0\uc784 \uc704\uc6d0(\uc0ac\ub098\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uce74\uc774\uce58 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uac00 \uc784\uba85)\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc704\uae30\uc640 \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubc0f \uace0\uc6a9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc774\uc720\ub85c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc870\uce58\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub300\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 BOJ\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uc73c\uba70, \ub85c\uc774\ud130\ub294 12\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub110\ub9ac \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 0.1% \uc624\ub978 101.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c 1\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc600\uace0, USD\/JPY\ub294 161.65\ub85c \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 20\uc8fc \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA) 158.72\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc8fc\uac04 RSI\ub294 64.11\ub85c \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uc9c1\uc804\uc758 \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 160.00\uacfc 158.72\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 162.00\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 BOJ\uc758 2% \ubb3c\uac00\ubaa9\ud45c\uc640 \uc591\uc801\u00b7\uc9c8\uc801\uc644\ud654(QQE), \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4\uae08\ub9ac, \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120\ud1b5\uc81c(YCC)\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc740 2024\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ucd08\uc644\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \uc885\ub8cc\ub85c \uadc0\uacb0\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc218\ub144\uac04\uc758 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc99d\ud3ed\uc2dc\ud0a8 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ubc30\uacbd\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

USD\/JPY Consolidation and Policy-Driven Opportunity<\/h3>\n\n

USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc218\uc2ed \ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 \uae34\uc7a5\uac10\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uac15\uc138\uc640 \ucda9\ub3cc\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc904\ub2e4\ub9ac\uae30 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

BOJ\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc758\uc9c0\uac00 \ubd84\uba85\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc911\uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2\ub144 \ub118\uac8c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574\uc628 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc815\ucc45 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud558\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 158.00 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\ubc1c(\u767c) \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc911\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 JPY \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 USD\/JPY \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

Risks of Intervention and Strategy Implications<\/h3>\n\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud604\uc7ac \ub808\ubca8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \ub192\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \ubd04 \ud658\uc728\uc774 160\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \ub204\uc801 9\uc870 \uc5d4\uc744 \ub118\ub294 \uac1c\uc785\uc774 \ub2e8\ud589\ub418\uba70 \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uace0 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub840\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 USD\/JPY \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc704\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc815\ubd80 \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \uae09\ub77d\uc774 \uc5b8\uc81c\ub4e0 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc838 \uc788\uc5b4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 BOJ\uc758 1%\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc218\ub144\uac04 USD\/JPY\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud574\uc628 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc870\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\uc218 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \uc778\uc2dd\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \ub2e8\uc21c \ub871\uc635\uc158 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \uc811\uadfc\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\uace0 \uc9c4\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 USD\/JPY \uc57d\uc138 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc2e0\uace0\uac00\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c162 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub0d0 \uac1c\uc785 \uae09\ub77d\uc774\ub0d0\u201d USD\/JPY 161.6 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc18d BOJ \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\u00b712\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc9c0\uc9c0. \uae30\uc220\uc0c1 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc9c1\uc804, 160\u00b7158.7 \uc9c0\uc9c0. \ud48b\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc720\ub9ac.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50118,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50151","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50151","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50151"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50151\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50118"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50151"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50151"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50151"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}