{"id":50136,"date":"2026-06-25T02:46:29","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T02:46:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ea%b0%95%eb%a0%a5%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T02:46:29","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T02:46:29","slug":"%ea%b0%95%eb%a0%a5%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b0%95%eb%a0%a5%ed%95%9c-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uac15\ub825\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd \uac15\ud654\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 6\uac1c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD) \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ucd94\uc801\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uac04\ub300 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 101.45 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uc2e0\u9ad8\uc778 101.45 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uac70\uc2dc\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uc640 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc804\uac1c \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2dc\uc124 \uc0ac\ucc30 \ud569\uc758 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uacfc\ub294 \ub2ec\ub9ac \u201c\ud611\uc0c1\uc740 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\u201d\ub294 \ubc18\ubc15\uc131 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba70 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uad00\ub9ac\u00b7\uac10\ub3c5 \ud558\uc5d0 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ud574 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \ub808\ubc14\ub17c \uac04 \ud734\uc804 \ub17c\uc758\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud68c\ub2f4\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d 6\uc6d4 S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc885\ud569 PMI \uc7a0\uc815\uce58\ub294 51.5\uc5d0\uc11c 52.2\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc0b0\ucd9c\uc740 55.1\uc5d0\uc11c 55.7\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(54.8)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PMI\ub3c4 50.7\uc5d0\uc11c 51.3\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(51.0)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 12\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u2019 \ubc18\uc601 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc57d 86.1%\ub85c, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc FOMC \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\uc804\uc758 61%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc120\uc804\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubaa8\uba58\ud140<\/h3>\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 106.25 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc2e0\u9ad8\ub97c \uc2dc\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uac70\uc758 2\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac15\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc774 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc120\uc804\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c0\uba70 \u2018\uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce78 \uc775\uc149\uc154\ub110\ub9ac\uc998\u2019(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc608\uc678\uc8fc\uc758) \ud14c\ub9c8\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud55c \ub370\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub410\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc885\ud569 PMI \uc7a0\uc815\uce58\ub294 54.6\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uae30\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.8%\ub85c \ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uacfc \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uae30 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ud55c\uce35 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc740 7\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 75%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 2027\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc5f0\ud788 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc790\uae08\uc758 \uc720\uc785\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc774\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ud55c\uce35 \ubd80\ucd94\uae30\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9c8\ucc30\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9c8\ucc30, \ud2b9\ud788 \uae30\uc220 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubb34\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \u2018\ud3ed\ud48d \uc18d \ud53c\ub09c\ucc98\u2019\ub85c\uc11c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871(\uac15\uc138) \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \u20182\ucc28\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc911\uc694\ud55c\u2019 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub85c(EUR)\ub098 \uc5d4\ud654(JPY) \ub4f1 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\uac00 \uba85\ud655\ud55c(defined-risk) \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ub300\uc548\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ub178\ucd9c\ub418\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, EUR\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\ucde8(\uc778\ucef4) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad6c\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2022\ub144 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uad00\uce21\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(pivot) \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4, 3\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \uadfc\uc811. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \u7f8e PMI\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\uccd0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50136","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50136"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50136\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50109"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50136"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50136"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50136"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}