{"id":49916,"date":"2026-06-22T00:52:37","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T00:52:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%eb%b6%88%ec%95%88%c2%b7%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-22T00:52:37","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T00:52:37","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%eb%b6%88%ec%95%88%c2%b7%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%eb%b6%88%ec%95%88%c2%b7%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4\u2026\uacf5\uae09 \ubd88\uc548\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 WTI 78\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120 \uae09\ub4f1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>WTI(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc6d0\uc720 \ubca4\uce58\ub9c8\ud06c)\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798\ub97c 1\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1 \uac2d \uc0c1\uc2b9(\ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uac2d)\ud558\uba70 \uc2dc\uc791\ud574 78\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc744 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8\ud588\uace0, \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \ud55c\ub54c \uc57d 2% \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc740 1.15%\ub85c \ub2e4\uc18c \uc904\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc 77\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud1a0\uc694\uc77c \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \ub808\ubc14\ub17c \uad00\ub828 \uc801\ub300 \ud589\uc704\uac00 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud3d0\uc1c4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uacf5\uae09 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01\ub41c \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ubd09\uc1c4 \ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc744 \u201c\ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c\u201d \ud0c0\uaca9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uace0, \ub808\ubc14\ub17c\uc758 \uce5c\uc774\ub780 \ubb34\uc7a5\uc815\ud30c \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\ub2e8\uc740 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc774\ub358 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud68c\ub2f4\uc5d0\uc11c \ud1f4\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc774\ub780\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubd09\uc1c4 \ud574\uc81c\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud55c \uc591\ud574\uac01\uc11c(MOU)\uc5d0 \uc11c\uba85\ud558\uace0, \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ubbfc\uac04 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc5d0 \uad00\ud55c 60\uc77c \ud611\uc758 \uc77c\uc815\uc744 \ub9c8\ub828\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c WTI\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc9c8\u00b7\uc800\uc720\ud669 \uc6d0\uc720\ub85c, \ucfe0\uc2f1(Cushing)\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc720\ud1b5\ub418\uba70 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc218\uae09, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uad50\ub780, \uc81c\uc7ac, OPEC \uacb0\uc815, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58 \ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac04 \uc7ac\uace0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 \ub9e4\uc8fc \ud654\uc694\uc77c API(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc11d\uc720\ud611\ud68c), \ub2e4\uc74c \ub0a0 EIA(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc815\ubcf4\uccad) \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub450 \uc9c0\ud45c \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \ud1b5\uc0c1 75%\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc11c\ub85c 1% \uc774\ub0b4\ub85c \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, EIA\uac00 \ub354 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. OPEC\uc740 12\uac1c \ud68c\uc6d0\uad6d\uc774 \uc5f0 2\ud68c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ucffc\ud130\ub97c \uc124\uc815\ud558\uace0, OPEC+\ub294 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \ube44OPEC 10\uac1c\uad6d\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub41c \ud611\uc758\uccb4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc6b0\ub824\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131<\/h3>\n<p>WTI\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ucd08\ud06c\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uc778 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uc7ac\ubd09\uc1c4\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc77c\uc77c \uacf5\uae09\ub7c9\uc758 5\ubd84\uc758 1\uc744 \ub118\ub294 \uc57d 2,100\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\uc758 \uc6d0\uc720\uac00 \uc774 \uc218\ub85c\ub97c \ud1b5\uacfc\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc911\ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ud0c0\ub2f9\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uacf5\ubc29 \uc218\uc704\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(IV)\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddles)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangles) \ub4f1 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \ubd88\uc548\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud3c9\ud654 \ud611\uc0c1\uc758 \uacb0\ub82c\uc740 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ud574\uc18c\ub418\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc635\uc158 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>WTI\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc774 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\uc740 \uacbd\ub85c\u2019(path of least resistance)\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc784\ubc15\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. 2019\ub144 \uc720\uc870\uc120 \ud53c\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 15% \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc, \uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc704\ud611\uc5d0 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc EIA \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uae30\uc900 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc6a9 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc7ac\uace0\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 5\ub144 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c, \uc2e4\uc81c \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \uc989\uac01 \ubc18\uc601\ub420 \uacf5\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc5d0 \ub450\ub418, \uc0c1\ud669 \uc804\uac1c \uc2dc\uac04\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 8\uc6d4\ubb3c\uacfc 9\uc6d4\ubb3c \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \uc6b0\uc120 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4. \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spreads)\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub808\ubc84\ub9ac\uc9c0 \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc9c0\ubd88\ud55c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c\uc815\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uc548\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ubb34\uc81c\ud55c \uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uacf5\uae09 \uc1fc\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\ubd09\uc1c4\u2019\uc5d0 WTI \uae09\ub4f1\u2026\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc11c \uac2d\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud6c4 77\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0, 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\ub3c4\uc804 \uc2dc\uc0ac. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ucda9\ub3cc \uaca9\ud654\ub85c \uacf5\uae09\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u00b7IV \ud655\ub300, 8~9\uc6d4 \ucf5c\u00b7\ubd88\ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47775,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49916","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49916","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49916"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49916\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47775"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49916"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49916"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49916"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}