{"id":49908,"date":"2026-06-20T02:52:38","date_gmt":"2026-06-20T02:52:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%eb%ac%bb%ed%9e%88%eb%a9%b0-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-0-7000%ec%84%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-06-20T02:52:38","modified_gmt":"2026-06-20T02:52:38","slug":"%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%eb%ac%bb%ed%9e%88%eb%a9%b0-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-0-7000%ec%84%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%eb%ac%bb%ed%9e%88%eb%a9%b0-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-0-7000%ec%84%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 RBA \uae30\uc870 \ubb3b\ud788\uba70 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec, 0.7000\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc640 \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\uac00 0.7000\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9ac\uba70 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uce94\ubc84\ub77c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\ubc1c \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.35%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uace0 \u2018\uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c\u2019 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc5f0\ub8cc\u00b7\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc7ac\ud654\uc640 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \ud30c\uae09\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\uc640 \uc911\uad6d\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \ub192\uc740 \ub300\ub9ac(proxy) \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud55c \ub370\ub2e4, \uc911\uad6d \uc218\uc694 \ubd80\uc9c4\uacfc \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacf5\uae09 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74 \uac1c\uc120\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. RBA\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \uc5ed\uc2dc 2027\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uc5d0 \uc624\ub978\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04 \uc218\uc694\uc77c(01:30 GMT) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uc6d4\uac04 CPI\ub85c, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 4.3%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0(Trimmed Mean)\uc774 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5b4 \ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c(01:30 GMT)\uc5d0\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uc9c1\uc804\uc6d4 \uae5c\uc9dd \uace0\uc6a9 \uac10\uc18c \uc774\ud6c4\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uac19\uc740 \ub0a0 12:30 GMT\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP 3\ucc28 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\uc640 5\uc6d4 PCE\ub3c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub3fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ud56d\uc740 0.7050\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud558\uba70 50\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\uc740 0.7100 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.7000\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ud0c8 \uc2dc 0.6950\uacfc 200\uc77c EMA(0.6900 \ubd80\uadfc)\uac00 \uc2dc\uc57c\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc628\ub2e4. Stoch RSI\ub294 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uadfc\ucc98\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a4\uba70, 0.7100 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\ub9bd~\uc57d\uc138 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>External Drivers and Domestic Dynamics<\/h3>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc790\uad6d \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud574\uc678 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc740 \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc AUD\/USD\ub97c 0.6600\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4. \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \ub2e4\ub974\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud604\uc7ac \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \u2018\ub3d9\uc2b9\u2019\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>RBA\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\uc870\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \ub05d\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 CPI\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.8%\ub85c \ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c(sticky) \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba74\uc11c(\ubaa9\ud45c 2~3% \uc0c1\ud68c), \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c\ub294 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uc120\ud68c\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub098\uc120 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uad8c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uce21\uba74\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uac15\uc810\uc740 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc704\ud5d8\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c\ub370, \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\ubc1c \uc218\uc694 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc73c\ub85c \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud1a4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2dc\ub3c4 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Key Data Ahead and Positioning Strategies<\/h3>\n<p>\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ud638\uc8fc \uc6d4\uac04 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub728\uac70\uc6b4(\uc0c1\ud68c) \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 RBA\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70, \ube44\ub85d \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc77c\uc9c0\ub77c\ub3c4 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub3c5\uc790\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uba85\ubd84\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub77c\uba74 0.6700 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \u2018\uc2a4\ud30c\uc774\ud06c\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc8fc\ud6c4\ubc18 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\uc0c1 \ud638\uc8fc \uc9c0\ud45c \ud638\uc870\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc815\uba74\ucda9\ub3cc\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc6b0\uc704\ub97c \uc810\ud588\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d PCE\uac00 \ub728\uac81\uac8c(\uc0c1\ud68c) \ub098\uc62c \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub354 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(0.6700 \ubd80\uadfc) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc911\ub9bd~\uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub97c \uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub77c\uba74 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 0.6600 \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c 0.6550 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \uae09\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \uad6c\uac04 \ucc38\uc5ec\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uac8c \ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd08\uae30 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec, RBA \ub9e4\ud30c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub20c\ub838\ub2e4\u201d FOMC\ubc1c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c AUD\/USD 0.7000 \uc704\ud611. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ud638\uc8fc CPI\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9, \ubbf8 PCE\uac00 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uacb0\uc815. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d 0.7050~0.7100.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47785,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49908","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49908","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49908"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49908\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47785"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49908"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49908"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49908"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}