{"id":49907,"date":"2026-06-20T02:23:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-20T02:23:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ea%b3%bc-%ec%8b%a4%ec%a7%88%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-06-20T02:23:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-20T02:23:31","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ea%b3%bc-%ec%8b%a4%ec%a7%88%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ea%b3%bc-%ec%8b%a4%ec%a7%88%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12, 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120 \ud5a5\ud574 \ud558\ub77d\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 \uc57d 1.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 6\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc57d\uc138 \ub610\ub294 \ubcf4\ud569 \ub9c8\uac10\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \ud734\uc804 \uc11c\uba85 \uc5c6\uc774 4\uac1c\uc6d4\uc9f8\ub85c \uc811\uc5b4\ub4e0 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc740 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub824\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2\uc6d4 \uc57d 5,600\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc640\ub294 \ud070 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ub09c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\uc744 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ud30c\uc0dd \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ub354 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc778\uc2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uba70 \uae30\uc874\uc758 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ubcf4\ub2e4 2026\ub144 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub77c \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud750\ub984\ub3c4 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uae08\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud55c\ub2e4\u2019\ub294 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 12:30 GMT\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP(3\ucc28 \ucd94\uc815\uce58)\uc640 5\uc6d4 PCE\uac00 \uacf5\uac1c\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.2%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.3%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \uc218\uc900 \ub610\ub294 \uadf8 \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 4,120\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc, \uc774\uc5b4 200\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\uc778 \uc57d 4,365\ub2ec\ub7ec, 50\uc77c EMA\uc778 \uc57d 4,500\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45, \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud558\ubc29 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uacf5\ud3ec\uc640\ub294 \uac70\uc758 \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uace0, \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc 5\uc6d4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.9%\ub85c \ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc774\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac(higher for longer)\u2019\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubbff\uc74c\uc774 \uad73\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uae08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud798\uc744 \uc783\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uc774\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac 2.1% \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. 105\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec(DXY)\ub3c4 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\ub294 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd \ubc0f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc744 65% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc774 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ub178\ucd9c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc801\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\u2019\uc740 \ud558\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \uace0\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc740 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774\ub2e4. \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900 \ub610\ub294 \uadf8 \uc774\ud558\uc778 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc774\ud0c8\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc800\ud56d\uc778 4,365\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf5c \ud06c\ub808\ub527 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc)\ub97c \uc124\uc815\ud558\uba74 \uc57d\uc138 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud22c\uae30\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ub3d9\ud5a5\ub3c4 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc CFTC \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud380\ub4dc\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ubd95\uad34\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\ub4e4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\uc81c \uccad\uc0b0\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \uc5f0\uc1c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub978\ubc14 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud034\uc988\uac00 \uc804\uac1c\ub418\uba74 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub418\uba70 3,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud6c4\ubc18\ub300\ub85c\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018\uae08=\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\u2019 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud754\ub4e4\u2026\uc8fc\uac04 1.5%\u2193\ub85c 6\uc8fc \uc57d\uc138. \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac 2.1%+\u00b7\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8. FOMC \ub9e4\ud30c\ud654\ub85c 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 65%, PCE\u00b7GDP\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47870,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49907","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49907"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49907\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47870"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49907"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}