{"id":49903,"date":"2026-06-20T01:22:41","date_gmt":"2026-06-20T01:22:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%c2%b7%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-20T01:22:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-20T01:22:41","slug":"%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%c2%b7%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%c2%b7%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc8fc\uc694 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900\u00b7\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc2e0\ud638 \uc0c1\uc1c4\uc5d0 AUD\/USD \ubcf4\ud569\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc640 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.7011 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70 \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc591 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc8fc \ucd08 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uace0\ucc29\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub450\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc815\uad50\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ub300\uae30\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc8fc\uc694 \uc77c\uc815\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc640 1\ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP) \ud655\uc815\uce58 \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc911\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI) \uc608\ube44\uce58\uc640 \uc911\uad6d\uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589(PBoC)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\ubaa9\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud604\ubb3c\uc740 \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800 \ubc34\ub4dc \uc911\ub2e8\uc120 \ubc0f 20\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA)\uc778 0.7091 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, 200\uc77c SMA(0.6852) \uc704\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 \uc911\ub9bd\uc120 50\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud55c 37\uc774\uba70, \ud3c9\uade0\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(ADX)\ub294 31 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.7091, \uc774\ud6c4 0.7220\uc774\uba70 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.6963\uacfc 0.6852\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc815\ucc45 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\uacfc \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc881\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uac07\ud600 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac 0.6650 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc7a0\uc2dc \uba48\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, RBA\ub294 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ud070 \ud750\ub984 \ud615\uc131\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\uad6d\ub3c4 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud63c\uc870 \uc591\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4. \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 6.2% \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba70 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc18c\ube44 \uc9c0\ucd9c \ubd80\uc9c4\uacfc \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c PBoC \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc911\uad6d \uc694\uc778\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uac15\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630\ud558\uae30\ub294 \uc27d\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc804\ub9dd, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ubcc0\uace1\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc6d4\uac04 CPI \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uadfc\uc6d0(Core) PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud574\ub2f9 \uace0(\u9ad8)\uc601\ud5a5 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uacf5\uc0b0\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc591\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc911 \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \u2018\ub728\uac81\uac8c\u2019 \ub098\uc624\ub290\ub0d0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ud611\uc18c\ud55c \ub808\uc778\uc9c0\uac00 \uc0c1\u00b7\ud558\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \ud604 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc800\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 AUD\/USD \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 24\uc2dc\uac04 \ub0b4 15~20% \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc2a4\ud30c\uc774\ud06c\ub3c4 \ub4dc\ubb3c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud55c \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uc120\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \ub610\ub294 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(long strangle)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ub9de\ud788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0\ub3c4, \uc9c0\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uc790\uccb4\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ud55c\ub2e4. \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc774\ub4e0 \ud558\ubc29\uc774\ub4e0 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc774\ud0c8 \ud3ed\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd08\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc740 0.6720, \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 0.6600\uc758 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc774\ud0c8 \uc2dc 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc778 0.6540 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub808\ubca8\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \uc124\uc815\uacfc \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud55c\ub3c4(\ud30c\ub77c\ubbf8\ud130) \uc815\uc758\uc5d0 \uc720\uc6a9\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud0c8\ucd9c \uc784\ubc15?\u201d AUD\/USD\ub294 Fed\u00b7RBA \ub9e4\ud30c \uc2e0\ud638 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c, \uc8fc\uac04 \uc57d\uc138. \ub2e4\uc74c\uc8fc \ud638\uc8fc CPI\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9, \ubbf8 PCE\u00b7GDP\u00b7PMI\u00b7\uc911\uad6d \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300. \uc800\ud56d 0.7091\/0.7220, \uc9c0\uc9c0 0.6963\/0.6852.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47731,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49903","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49903"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49903\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49903"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49903"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49903"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}