{"id":49902,"date":"2026-06-20T00:53:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-20T00:53:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%c2%b7%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-3\/"},"modified":"2026-06-20T00:53:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-20T00:53:31","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%c2%b7%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%c2%b7%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-3\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\uae08\uac12 3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 1.69% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,147\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70, \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc8fc\uac04 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ud655\uc2e4\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 101.00\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uacbd\uc2e0\ud588\uace0, \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc740 9\uc6d4 16\uc77c FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 18bp\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 72%\ub77c\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8 2\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 13bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uae08\uc744 6\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc778 4,121\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\uace0, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub85c \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub410\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 ECB\ub294 6\uc6d4 11\uc77c 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud588\uace0, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ)\ub3c4 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ub4a4\ub530\ub790\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ub610\ud55c FOMC \uc704\uc6d0\uc758 \uac70\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc774 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc740 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA)\uc778 4,466\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc555\ubc15\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 6\uc6d4 11\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc800\uc810 4,023\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 2025\ub144 10\uc6d4 28\uc77c \uc2a4\uc719 \uc800\uc810\uc778 3,886\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub178\ucd9c\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 6\uc6d4 17\uc77c \uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uace0\uc810 4,382\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uba3c\uc800 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 200\uc77c SMA\uc640 4,500\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uac01\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uace8\ub4dc\ub9cc\uc0ad\uc2a4\ub294 12\uc6d4 \uae08\uac12 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \ud2b8\ub85c\uc774\uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,900\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc885\uc804 \ub300\ube44 500\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP\uc640 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \uc57d 700\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8(1,136\ud1a4)\uc758 \uae08\uc744 \ucd94\uac00 \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uae08 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \ucd94\uc138\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uae08\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2dc\uac01\uc73c\ub85c \uad73\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc624\ub298 \uc624\uc804 \uae30\uc900 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ud234\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 75%\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ubbf8 2\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 4.95% \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uae08\ucc98\ub7fc \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\ub97c \ub5a8\uc5b4\ub728\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ubc1c(\u767c) \uc9c0\uc18d \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uadfc\uac70\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08 \uac00\uaca9 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\uc751\uc73c\ub85c \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c \ub610\ub294 \uad00\ub828 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uc758\ub41c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c \ud0c0\uae43\uc73c\ub85c, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 4,023\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ub808\ubca8\uc774 \ubd95\uad34\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc694 \ucd09\ub9e4\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(Core PCE) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub85c, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uc758 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc5f0\uc728 3.1%\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uae08\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\ub358 2022~2023\ub144 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uae08\uc740 \ucd08\uae30\uc5d0 \uace0\uc804\ud588\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc758 \uc815\uc810\uc744 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \ub4a4\uc5d0\uc57c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud588\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc5f4\ub9ac\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ub354 \ud074 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 3\uc8fc\uc9f8 \ud558\ub77d\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 200\uc77c\uc120 \uc774\ud0c8. 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd95\uad34 \ub550 4,023~4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc2dc\ud5d8, \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 4,382 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uad00\uac74. \uace8\ub4dc\ub9cc \ubaa9\ud45c 4,900\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47868,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49902","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49902"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49902\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47868"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49902"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49902"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49902"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}