{"id":49898,"date":"2026-06-19T23:53:11","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T23:53:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%8a%a4%ec%9c%84%ec%8a%a4%ea%b5%ad%eb%a6%bd%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8%ec%97%90-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98-%ec%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94\/"},"modified":"2026-06-19T23:53:11","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T23:53:11","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%8a%a4%ec%9c%84%ec%8a%a4%ea%b5%ad%eb%a6%bd%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8%ec%97%90-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98-%ec%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%8a%a4%ec%9c%84%ec%8a%a4%ea%b5%ad%eb%a6%bd%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8%ec%97%90-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98-%ec%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b0%95%ed%99%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900-\uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uad6d\ub9bd\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc2ec\ub9ac \uac15\ud654\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ud504\ub791, 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CHF\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc640 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uad6d\ub9bd\uc740\ud589(SNB) \uac04 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 0.8080\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 101.13(2025\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58)\uc744 \ud130\uce58\ud55c \ub4a4 100.80 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc8fc \ucd08 \ub450 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ubaa8\ub450 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, Fed\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \ub370 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\ub294 FOMC \uc704\uc6d0 \uc911 \uac70\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub0ae\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc5ec\uac74\ub3c4 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. USD\/CHF\ub294 100\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA)\uc778 0.7849\uc640 0.7907 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uace0, RSI\ub294 68.6, ADX\ub294 27 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.8100 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\uc77c \uc885\uac00\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 0.8300, \uc774\ud6c4 0.8500\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc774\ub3d9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 200\uc77c SMA\uc778 0.7907 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, \ub2e4\uc74c \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 100\uc77c SMA 0.7849\ub85c \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc791\uc131\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0<\/h3>\n<p>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \ud504\ub791 \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. Fed\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uad00\ub9ac \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, SNB\ub294 \ud604 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \ub9cc\uc871\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 USD\/CHF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud310\ub2e8\uc740 \uc774\ub2ec \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 3.6%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 Fed\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 1.4%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0 SNB\uac00 \uae30\uc874 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc14\uafc0 \uc720\uc778\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubc0f \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uace0\ub824\uc0ac\ud56d<\/h3>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 USD\/CHF \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 0.8100\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc740 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 0.8300\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uae30 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 2026\ub144 7~8\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\ud569\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub300\uc548 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc778 0.7900 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uac15\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\uc5b4 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud558\uae30\uc5d0 \uc801\uc808\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac70\ub798\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc774 \uc774 \ud655\ub9bd\ub41c \ubc14\ub2e5 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uac8c \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc RSI\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ud3b8\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc720\uc758\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc804 \uc870\uc815\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub294\ub370, 2024\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc800\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \uad00\ucc30\ub410\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c 0.7900 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc870\uc815\uc740 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0\ub3c4 USD\/CHF\ub294 0.8080\ub85c 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0. Fed \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc0ac vs SNB \uc548\uc815 \uae30\uc870 \u2018\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\u2019 \ubd80\uac01. 0.8100 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc2dc 0.8300~0.8500 \uc5f4\ub824. RSI \uacfc\uc5f4\uc740 \uc870\uc815 \uacbd\uacc4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47737,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49898","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49898"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49898\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47737"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49898"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49898"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49898"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}