{"id":49889,"date":"2026-06-19T21:23:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T21:23:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%9d%b4%eb%b2%88-%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a3%bc%eb%aa%a9-%ec%86%8d%eb%b3%b4-pmi%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%ea%b8%80%eb%a1%9c%eb%b2%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-06-19T21:23:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T21:23:12","slug":"%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%9d%b4%eb%b2%88-%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a3%bc%eb%aa%a9-%ec%86%8d%eb%b3%b4-pmi%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%ea%b8%80%eb%a1%9c%eb%b2%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%9d%b4%eb%b2%88-%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a3%bc%eb%aa%a9-%ec%86%8d%eb%b3%b4-pmi%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%ea%b8%80%eb%a1%9c%eb%b2%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c \u201c\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc8fc\ubaa9\u201d\u2026 \uc18d\ubcf4 PMI\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d PCE, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc774\uc288 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud560 \ub4ef"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uac70\uc2dc \uc77c\uc815\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud50c\ub798\uc2dc PMI\uc640 \uc5f0\uc774\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 5\uc6d4 PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c) \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \uc8fc\ubaa9\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\uba70, PMI\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc678 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c Ifo \uacbd\uae30\ub3d9\ud5a5\uc9c0\uc218\uc640 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub3c4\ucfc4 CPI\uac00 \ud3ec\ud568\ub3fc, \uc218\uc694 \ubc0f \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4 \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc640 \ud638\uc8fc\ub3c4 CPI\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc73c\ub85c, \uc8fc\uc694\uad6d \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984 \uc810\uac80\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud14c\ub9c8\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\ub294 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \ub3c4\uad6c\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc791\uc131\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uc758 \uac80\ud1a0\ub97c \uac70\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ud575\uc2ec \uac70\uc2dc \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \ud55c \uc8fc\uac00 \uc911\ub300 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ud55c\uaebc\ubc88\uc5d0 \uc3df\uc544\uc9c0\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubc0f \uc131\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\uba70, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub0bc \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud2b9\ud788 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc0f \uc678\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc5d0\uac8c \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d PCE \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI\uac00 \uc644\uac15\ud55c 3.1%\ub85c \ub098\uc628 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub610 \ud55c \ubc88 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub728\uac81\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ub354 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubc00\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uacc4\uae30\ub85c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uae30 \uc704\ud574 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uacfc S&#038;P 500 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud50c\ub798\uc2dc PMI\ub294 \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uac74\uac15 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \uc810\uac80\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uc9f8 \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\u00b7\ucd95\uc18c\ub97c \uac00\ub974\ub294 50\uc120\uc744 \uac04\uc2e0\ud788 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574 \uc654\uace0, \uc9c1\uc804 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc218\uce58\ub294 50.2\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 \uce68\uccb4 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc99d\ud3ed\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218 \ubc0f \uacbd\uae30\ubbfc\uac10\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud48b(put) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c Ifo \uc124\ubb38\uc744 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ucd5c\ub300 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \ubc14\ub85c\ubbf8\ud130\ub85c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc758 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc5c5\uc2ec\ub9ac \uc57d\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 ECB\uc758 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uac00\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ud2b9\ud788 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\u00b7\ud638\uc8fc CPI, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub3c4\ucfc4 CPI\ub97c \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\uc0c1 \ub3c4\ucfc4 CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba74 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870 \uac15\ud654\uc5d0 \uc120\ud589\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc788\uc5b4 USD\/JPY\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc640 \ud638\uc8fc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\ub4e4\uacfc\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uac70\ub798 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud50c\ub798\uc2dc PMI\u00b7\ubbf8 PCE\u00b7\uac01\uad6d CPI\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc \ubd84\ucd9c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub0d0 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub0d0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5f0\uc900\u00b7ECB\u00b7BOJ \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7FX\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47719,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49889","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49889"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49889\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47719"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49889"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49889"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49889"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}