{"id":49877,"date":"2026-06-19T18:22:33","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T18:22:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-1%eb%85%84-%eb%a7%8c%ec%97%90-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%ec%97%94\/"},"modified":"2026-06-19T18:22:33","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T18:22:33","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-1%eb%85%84-%eb%a7%8c%ec%97%90-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%ec%97%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-1%eb%85%84-%eb%a7%8c%ec%97%90-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%ec%97%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870 \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec, 1\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\u2026\uc5d4\ud654, 161\uc5d4 \uc548\ud30e \u2018\uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4\uc120\u2019 \uadfc\uc811"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>UOB \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf9\uc2a4 &#038; \ub9c8\ucf13 \ub9ac\uc11c\uce58\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4(USD\/JPY)\uc740 0.46% \uc624\ub978 161.37\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uacfc\uac70 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uac1c\uc785\ud588\ub358 \uad6c\uac04\uacfc \uac00\uae5d\uace0, \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc9c0\uc9c0(\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b7\uc5d4 \ub9e4\uc218) \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub610\ud55c 1\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 Fed\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc640 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc18c\ud3ed \uac1c\uc120\ub410\ub2e4. \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \ubc0f \uc18c\ube44 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher-for-longer)\u2019 \uc11c\uc0ac\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 USD\/JPY\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131 \uac1c\uc785\uacfc \uc5f0\uad00\ub41c \uc218\uc900 \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\ub294 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \ub3c4\uad6c\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc791\uc131\ub41c \ub4a4 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uc758 \uac80\ud1a0\ub97c \uac70\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Fed \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\uc870\uc640 \ub192\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d<\/h3>\n<p>Fed\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 CPI\ub294 3.5%\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc778\uc2dd\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub0a0 \uc624\uc804 \uae30\uc900 \ud658\uc728\uc740 161.15 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5d4\ud654\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ub808\ubca8 \uc811\uadfc\u2026\uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d \uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4\uac10 \uace0\uc870<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uc5d4\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacbd\uacc4 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \uc2a4\uc988\ud0a4 \uc28c\uc774\uce58 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc0c1\uc740 \uc804\ub0a0 \ud658\uc728 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \u201c\ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\uc740 \uae34\ubc15\uac10\u201d\uc744 \uac16\uace0 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc870\uce58 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uacfc\uac70 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uac1c\uc785\ud588\ub358 \uad6c\uac04 \uc548\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacfc\uac70\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, 2024\ub144 4~5\uc6d4 \ud658\uc728\uc774 160\uc5d4\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\ub300\uc778 9\uc8708000\uc5b5 \uc5d4\uc744 \ud22c\uc785\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub840\ub294 \uad6c\ub450 \uacbd\uace0\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218\ub294 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc758 \u2018\uc5d4 \ub9e4\uc218\u2019\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18\ub418\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uace0 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \ud604\uc2e4\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc870\uce58\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 3~5\uc5d4 \uae09\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158 \ubcf4\uc720 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\ub2e4. USD\/JPY 1\uc8fc\ubb3c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 14%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uac1c\uc785 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1\uc758 \u2018\uc0c1\ub2e8\u2019(hard ceiling)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uad81\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc740 Fed\uc758 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \ubc14\uafc0 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc88c\uc6b0\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ud654\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4\uba74, \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uac1c\uc785 \uc5c6\uc774\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc870\uc815(\uc57d\uc138) \ucd09\ubc1c \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec, Fed \ub9e4\ud30c\u00b7\u7f8e\uc9c0\ud45c \ud638\uc870\uc5d0 1\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\u2026USD\/JPY 161\uc5d4\ub300 \uc9c4\uc785. \u65e5\ub2f9\uad6d \uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4 \uace0\uc870 \uc18d \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1, \ub2e8\uae30 3~5\uc5d4 \uae09\ub77d \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucd09\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47725,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ub2ec\ub7ec, Fed \ub9e4\ud30c\u00b7\u7f8e\uc9c0\ud45c \ud638\uc870\uc5d0 1\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\u2026USD\/JPY 161\uc5d4\ub300 \uc9c4\uc785. \u65e5\ub2f9\uad6d \uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4 \uace0\uc870 \uc18d \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1, \ub2e8\uae30 3~5\uc5d4 \uae09\ub77d \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucd09\uac01.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link 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