{"id":49870,"date":"2026-06-19T16:23:27","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T16:23:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ec%a0%84%ed%99%98%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-13%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%80-eur-usd\/"},"modified":"2026-06-19T16:23:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T16:23:27","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ec%a0%84%ed%99%98%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-13%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%80-eur-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ec%a0%84%ed%99%98%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-13%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%80-eur-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\u2026\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\uc740 EUR\/USD \ubc18\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ud0a4\uc6cc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 2012\ub144 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot) \uacf5\uac1c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \ud3ed\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud55c \ub4a4 2025\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 1.5% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uc678\uad50 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ub808\ubc14\ub17c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ubc88\ubcf5\ud558\uba70 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \uc591\ud574\uac01\uc11c(MoU) \uc11c\uba85\uc774 \uc9c0\uc5f0\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c \ud55c \ub2ec\uac04 \uac00\ud30c\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uad6d\uc81c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uae30\uad6c(IEA)\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc6d4\uac04 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacf5\uae09 \uacfc\uc789\uc774 2027\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. IEA\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc57d\uc138 \uc694\uc778 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub85c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ubb3c\ub3d9\ub7c9 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ucd9c\ud558\ub7c9\uc774 5\uc6d4 960\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\/\uc77c(mb\/d)\uc5d0\uc11c 6\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uc57d 1,200\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\/\uc77c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc624\ub9cc\ub9cc\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc120\ubc15 \uac04 \ud658\uc801(ship-to-ship transfers)\uc774 \uc77c\ubd80 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub410\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c(\u767c) \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \ubc0f 2027\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc81c\uae30\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \u2018\uc815\uc810\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\u2019\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubb18\uc0ac\ub418\uba70 Fed\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 ECB\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5ec\uac74\uacfc \ucc45\ubb34\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\ub825\uc774 \ub354 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. MUFG\ub294 2026\ub144 \ud6c4\ubc18 EUR\/USD\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uacac\uc778<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 107.50\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba70 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc911\uac04\uac12 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub41c \ub370 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubc18\uc751\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uc720\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uad34\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\uc640 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uae09\ub77d \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\ub294 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \uad00\ucc30\ub41c\ub2e4. WTI\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c \ud55c \ub2ec\uac04 15% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 75\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uace0, IEA\ub294 \ub0b4\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09 \uacfc\uc789\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\ubc18\uc804)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.2%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc815\uc810\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc5d0 \uacfc\uc789 \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 2018\ub144 \ub9d0 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uae30\uc870 \uc804\ud658\ud588\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uad00\ucc30\ub41c \ud328\ud134\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc740 4%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \uacbd\uc9c1\uc131\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc788\uc5b4 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 1.0600 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c EUR\/USD\uc758 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 EUR\/USD \ub871(\ub9e4\uc218) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218, \uc5f0\uc900 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c \uc1fc\ud06c\u2019\ub85c 13\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\u00b73\uc77c 1.5%\u2191. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\u00b7IEA \uacf5\uae09\uacfc\uc789 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uac15\ud654, Fed \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ub0ae\uace0 ECB\ub294 \uc5ec\uc9c0\u2014\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\u00b7\uc720\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1 \ubca0\ud305 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