{"id":49861,"date":"2026-06-19T13:52:49","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T13:52:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ea%b3%bc-%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%80%ed%86%a0-%ec%a7%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-19T13:52:49","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T13:52:49","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ea%b3%bc-%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%80%ed%86%a0-%ec%a7%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ea%b3%bc-%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%80%ed%86%a0-%ec%a7%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uac80\ud1a0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc911 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc900\ud2f4\uc2a4(Juneteenth) \uc740\ud589 \ud734\uc77c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ud55c\uc0b0\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 101.00\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub358 1\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc00\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc 100.75 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc720\ub825\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub294 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub294\ub370, 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \uacac\uace0\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc810\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc644\ud654 \ud3b8\ud5a5(easing bias)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5b8\uae09\uc744 \uc81c\uac70\ud55c \ub354 \uc9e7\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uc131\uba85\uc744 \ub0b4\ub193\uc558\uace0, \uacbd\uc81c \ud65c\ub3d9 \uac1c\uc120\uacfc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(projections)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \uac70\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc774 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. CME\uadf8\ub8f9\uc758 \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 10\uc6d4 \uc774\uc804 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 77%\ub85c, \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804 \uc57d 40%\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 55%\uc5d0\uc11c 90%\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uacfc \uc644\uc804\uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uba70, \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. 12\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub41c FOMC\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc5f0 8\ud68c \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc5f4\uace0, \ud544\uc694 \uc2dc \uc591\uc801\uc644\ud654(QE)\ub098 \uc591\uc801\uae34\ucd95(QT)\ub3c4 \ub3d9\uc6d0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370 \ud1b5\uc0c1 QE\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138, QT\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. DXY\uac00 100.75 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc774\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc55e\ub454 \uc870\uc815(\ucf58\uc194\ub9ac\ub370\uc774\uc158) \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c DXY \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c \ub871 \uc9c4\uc785\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \u2018\uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 90%\u2019\ub77c\ub294 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uc758 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc6b0\ud638\uc801 \uc694\uc778(\ud14c\uc77c\uc708\ub4dc)\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5 \ubc0f \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uac15\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 3.5%\ub85c, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 25\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud55c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ud6fc\uc190 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b4\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \u2018\uadf8\ub9b0\ub77c\uc774\ud2b8\u2019\ub97c \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub294 2022~2023\ub144 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ubbf8 \ubaa9\uaca9\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uac00\ud30c\ub974\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub354 \uc644\ub9cc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \uc720\uc0ac\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc(USD) \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\uc5d0 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c(GC) \ub4f1 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ud638\uc801 \ud48b(\ud504\ub85c\ud14d\ud2f0\ube0c \ud48b)\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0, \uc6d0\uc720 \ucf5c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 S&#038;P500 \ub2e4\uad6d\uc801 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc2e4\uc801(\ud574\uc678 \ub9e4\ucd9c \ud658\uc0b0)\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud655\uc2e0\uc740 \ub192\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c \ub2e8\ub3c5 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub300\uc2e0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\uc218 \ub4f1 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uc815\ud55c(defined-risk) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \uae09\ubcc0\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc7a0\uc7ac \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud574\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120 \uc18d \uc644\ub9cc \uc870\uc815\u2026\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc 100.75 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b7\uc8fc\uac04 1%\u2191 \uc720\ub825. \uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\u2019\uc5d0 10\uc6d4 \uc804 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 77%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1, \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubca0\ud305 \uc9c0\uc18d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47737,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49861"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49861\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47737"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}