{"id":49857,"date":"2026-06-19T12:52:46","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T12:52:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%95%95%eb%b0%95-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ea%b8%88-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%ec%b6%95\/"},"modified":"2026-06-19T12:52:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T12:52:46","slug":"%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%95%95%eb%b0%95-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ea%b8%88-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%ec%b6%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%95%95%eb%b0%95-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ea%b8%88-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%ec%b6%95\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 \uc555\ubc15 \uc9c0\uc18d\u2026\uae08, \ub099\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 1\uc8fc\uc77c\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub294 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 2025\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\ub2e4. Fed\ub294 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5 \uccb4\uc81c \uccab \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.5%~3.75% \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 19\uba85 \uc911 9\uba85\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. CME\uadf8\ub8f9\uc758 \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ud234\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 70%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uba70 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \uc7a0\uc815 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ub099\uad00\ub860\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, JD \ubc34\uc2a4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubd80\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc544\uc9c1 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud655\uc815\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ud611\uc758\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uacc4\ud68d\ud588\ub358 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \ubc29\ubb38\uc744 \ucde8\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \ub808\ubc14\ub17c \uacf5\uc2b5\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud55c\uce35 \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4. \uc900\ud2f4\uc2a4(Juneteenth)\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc740\ud589 \ud734\uc7a5\uc77c\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba74\uc11c \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc587\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\uace0, \uae08\uc740 \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 200\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub9ac\uba70 4,358.53\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uace0, RSI\ub294 36 \ubd80\uadfc, MACD\ub294 \uc74c(-)\uc758 \uc601\uc5ed\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ud658\uacbd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.8%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc57d\uc138\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c \uae08\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 108.50\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 1\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \uae08\uc744 \ub354 \ube44\uc2f8\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uae08\uc740 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc774 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uad6c\ub3c4\uac00 \ud22c\uc790 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ud0c8\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc57d\uc138 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 7~8\uc6d4 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uae08\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc5ec\ub825\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc81c\ud55c\ub3fc \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc774 \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uac00\uc815\ud558\uc5d0 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. \u2018\ucd5c\uc18c \uc800\ud56d \uacbd\ub85c\u2019\uac00 \ud558\ubc29\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uacfc\ub3c4 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud1b5\uc0c1 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub294 \uae08\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub97c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc3e0\ub9ac\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2022\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc555\ub3c4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 \uae08\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd88\ub9ac\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\uc758 \uad50\ucc29\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae08\uad34\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uae08 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud568\uc815?\u201d Fed \ub9e4\ud30c \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 1\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0, \uae08\uc740 \ucd5c\uc800\uc810\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc57d\uc138 \uc6b0\ub824. \uc800\ud56d 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47811,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uae08 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud568\uc815?\u201d Fed \ub9e4\ud30c \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 1\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0, \uae08\uc740 \ucd5c\uc800\uc810\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc57d\uc138 \uc6b0\ub824. \uc800\ud56d 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%95%95%eb%b0%95-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ea%b8%88-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%ec%b6%95\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 \uc555\ubc15 \uc9c0\uc18d\u2026\uae08, \ub099\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201c\uae08 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud568\uc815?\u201d Fed \ub9e4\ud30c \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 1\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0, \uae08\uc740 \ucd5c\uc800\uc810\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc57d\uc138 \uc6b0\ub824. \uc800\ud56d 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc-%ea%b0%95%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%95%95%eb%b0%95-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ea%b8%88-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%ec%b6%95\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-19T12:52:46+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-06-19T12:52:46+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 \uc555\ubc15 \uc9c0\uc18d\u2026\uae08, \ub099\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\uae08 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud568\uc815?\u201d Fed \ub9e4\ud30c \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 1\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0, \uae08\uc740 \ucd5c\uc800\uc810\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 3\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc57d\uc138 \uc6b0\ub824. \uc800\ud56d 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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