AUD\/USD\ub294 1\uc8fc\uc77c\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uba87 \ud54d \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud0c4\ub825\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \ucc44 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 0.7000 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9f4\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ucc28\uae30 \ud611\uc0c1 \ub77c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 2025\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uc0c8\ub85c \uacbd\uc2e0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc5f4\ub824 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 3~5\uc6d4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c 61.8% \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, 100\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\uacfc 50% \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \ud558\ud68c\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc740 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. MACD\ub294 0\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3c9\ud3c9\ud558\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0, RSI\ub294 37 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. 0.7000 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 61.8% \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 0.6926 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 78.6% \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \uc2dc\uc57c\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\uba70, \uadf8 \uc544\ub798\ub85c\ub294 0.6832 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ub300\uae30\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc740 0.7051, \uc774\uc5b4 0.7085\uc640 0.7103\uc774\uba70, \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c\ub294 0.7167\uacfc 0.7271\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD\uac00 0.7000\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c \ud604 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc758 \uc555\ub3c4\uc801 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc758\uc9c0\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c \uc5ed\uc2dc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.9%\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc784\ubc15\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ud638\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud55c \ubd84\uae30 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ubc30\uc81c\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubc18\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc5ed\ud48d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc218\ucd9c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc790\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c \ubd84\uae30 3.8%\ub85c \ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c RBA\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\ub85c \uc120\ud68c(hawkish pivot)\ud558\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ucda9\ubd84\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c RBA \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ud14c\ub9c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \uc57d\uc138\uc801 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, 0.7000 \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 0.6926 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uc124\uacc4\ub41c\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad6c\ub3c4\uc0c1 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uace0 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\ub97c \uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \ub354 \uc801\ud569\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc811\uadfc\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud658\uc728\uc758 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud55c \ud604 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae09\ub77d\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d(\uc2ac\ub85c \uadf8\ub77c\uc778\ub4dc)\uc774 \ub354 \uc720\ub825\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
0.7051~0.7085 \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uc20f \uc131\ud5a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc9c4\uc785 \ub610\ub294 \ucd94\uac00\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 100\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\ub294 \ucee8\ud50c\ub8e8\uc5b8\uc2a4(convergence) \uc601\uc5ed\uc774\ub2e4. \uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub824\uba74 0.7100\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc548\ucc29(hold)\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ed\ud559\uc740 2014~2016\ub144 \uc0ac\uc774 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uacbd\ud5d8\uc0c1 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud55c AUD\/USD\uc758 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc801\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\u2019\uc740 \ud558\ubc29\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ud1a4 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294\uc9c0 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
0.7000\uc120 \uc704\ud0dc\ub85c\uc6b4 AUD\/USD\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c Fed+\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\u2019\uc5d0 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uace0\uc810. 100\uc77c\uc120 \uc774\ud0c8\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \uc6b0\uc138, 0.6926\u00b70.6832 \uacbd\uacc4. RBA \ub9e4\ud30c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc81c\ud55c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47697,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49856","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49856","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49856"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49856\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47697"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49856"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49856"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49856"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}