{"id":49827,"date":"2026-06-18T15:53:46","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T15:53:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%86%8d-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81\/"},"modified":"2026-06-18T15:53:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T15:53:46","slug":"%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%86%8d-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%86%8d-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc18d \uc5f0\uc900 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc5d0 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \ub4a4 GBP\/USD\uac00 1.3220\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud558\uace0 1.3200 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc130\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Bank Rate)\ub294 3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc704\uc6d0 2\uba85\uc740 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc2a4\uc640\ud2f0 \ub529\uadf8\ub77c\uac00 \ud734 \ud544\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc9c4\uc601\uc5d0 \ud569\ub958\ud588\ub2e4. BoE\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \uc62c\ud574 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, 4\uc6d4 \ucd94\uc815\uce58 \ub300\ube44 \uae30\uc870 \uc131\uc7a5(underlying growth)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3c9\uac00\ub294 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc55e\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 5%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.9%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \u2018\ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc74c\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 10\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc9c1\uc804\uce58(14\ub9cc8,000\uba85)\uc5d0\ub294 \ubabb \ubbf8\ucce4\uc73c\ub098 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(8\ub9cc \uba85)\ub294 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub294 \uacac\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. \uc0c1\uc5ec\uae08\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ud3c9\uade0\uc784\uae08\uc740 3.4%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58(3.2%)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uace0, \uc0c1\uc5ec\uae08 \ud3ec\ud568 \uc784\uae08\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uace0 \uc644\ud654 \ud3b8\ud5a5(easing-bias) \ubb38\uad6c\ub97c \uc0ad\uc81c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c \uad6c\uc131\uc6d0 \uc911 \uac70\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc774 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc774\uc804 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\ud55c \uc810\uc774 \ubd80\uac01\ub418\uba70 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\ucd94\uae34\ub2e4<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud1a4\uacfc \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uacb0\uc815 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 GBP\/USD\uac00 1.3200\uc120\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub97c \ud2b9\ud788 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uba70, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc2e0\uc784 \uc758\uc7a5 \uccb4\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uac00 \uacac\uc778\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME\uc758 \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc744 70% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac(\uc218\uc775\ub960) \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc744 \ucd09\uc9c4\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.9%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uace0 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \uac15\ud55c \ub4f1 \uc601\uad6d \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc778\uc0c1\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, BoE\uc758 \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0\u2019\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \uc555\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 BoE\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ub35c \uc6b0\ub824\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub5a8\uc5b4\ub728\ub9ac\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 7\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub610\ub294 8\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 GBP\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 1.3000~1.3100 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ub41c \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc800\uc810 1.3160\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud558\ub77d \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uac00\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 2014~2015\ub144\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc758 \uc911\uae30 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uc784\uae08 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 BoE\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc601\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud615\uc131\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uacbd\uace0\ub4f1\u201d BoE \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc18d Fed \ub9e4\ud30c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac \ud655\ub300\u2026GBP\/USD 1.32 \ubd95\uad34\ud558\uba70 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810. 1.30\ub300 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \ubd80\uac01, CPI\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47703,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49827","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uacbd\uace0\ub4f1\u201d BoE \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc18d Fed \ub9e4\ud30c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac \ud655\ub300\u2026GBP\/USD 1.32 \ubd95\uad34\ud558\uba70 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810. 1.30\ub300 \ucd94\uac00 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