{"id":49823,"date":"2026-06-18T14:54:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T14:54:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-3-75-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9e%a5-%ec%86%8c%ec%88%98%ec%9d%98%ea%b2%ac%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84\/"},"modified":"2026-06-18T14:54:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T14:54:00","slug":"%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-3-75-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9e%a5-%ec%86%8c%ec%88%98%ec%9d%98%ea%b2%ac%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-3-75-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9e%a5-%ec%86%8c%ec%88%98%ec%9d%98%ea%b2%ac%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0\u2026\uc778\uc0c1 \uc8fc\uc7a5 \uc18c\uc218\uc758\uacac\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uae09\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc740 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Bank Rate)\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uba70 4\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 7\ub300 2\ub85c \uac08\ub838\uace0, \ud734 \ud544(Huw Pill)\uacfc \uadf8\ub9b0(Greene)\uc740 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(MPC)\ub294 \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c CPI\uac00 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \ud544\uc694 \uc2dc \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub3fc \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc62c\ud574 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uace0 4\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \uae30\uc870 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uc18c\ud3ed \ub354 \ube60\ub97c \uac83\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c 4\uac1c\uc6d4\uac04 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub354\ud588\ub2e4\uace0\ub3c4 \ubc1d\ud788\uba70, 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09(second-round) \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2e0\uc18d\ud788 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc218\uc815\ub41c \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 CPI\ub294 4\ubd84\uae30(Q4) 3.25%\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uc804\ub9dd(\uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 A\u00b7B \uae30\uc900 3.6%~3.7%, \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 C \uae30\uc900 6%)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub41c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. BoE\ub294 \ub610\ud55c 2\ubd84\uae30(Q2) \uae30\uc870 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uc57d +0.2%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58(+0.1%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4. GBP\/USD\ub294 1.3215\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud574 4\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub2f9\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \uc57d 0.6% \ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc120 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 5\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569, \uc6d4\uac04 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 0.7%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.2%\ub85c \ub454\ud654, \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc9c1\uc804 \ud68c\uc758 \ub2f9\uc2dc \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 30% \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900, GDP\uac00 3\uc6d4(+0.3%)\u00b72\uc6d4(+0.4%) \uc774\ud6c4 4\uc6d4\uc5d0 -0.1%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc549\uc740 \uc810 \ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \uc7a0\uc7ac \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n<p>\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0 \uacb0\uc815\uc740, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacbd\uae30 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. GBP\/USD\uac00 \uc989\uac01 1.3215\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 2\uba85\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc18\ub300(\uc778\uc0c1 \uc18c\uc218\uc758\uacac)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0\u2019\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc838 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc774 \uc544\ub798\ucabd\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\ubc18\uc804) \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c \uc601\uad6d \uc784\uae08\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 5.7%\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uba70, \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub3c4 \uc804\uccb4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ub300\ube44 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\uc800 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud45c\uacb0\uc744 \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud558\uba70, \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \uacbd\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ud589\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uba74\uc11c \ub2e4\uc218 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uac00 \u2018\uc5ed\uc2b5\u2019\uc744 \ub9de\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ud68c\uc640 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uac04 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. GBP\/USD\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ucda9\ub3cc\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uba85\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uace0\ud55c \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \ub354 \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub4f1 \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub354 \ud070 \uadf8\ub9bc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uba74 4\uc6d4 GDP\uc758 \uc815\uccb4(\ubd80\uc9c4)\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5b8\uae09\ub41c \uacbd\uae30 \ud53c\ub85c\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud5a5\ud55c \uac83\uacfc \ub300\uc870\ub3fc, \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \uacf5\uc2dd \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc2e4\uc2dc\uac04 \uc9c0\ud45c \uac04 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c \ub0a8\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc804\ud658(pivot)\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. 2022~2023\ub144\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc774\uba70, \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc6b0\ub824\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud1b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc6b0\uc120\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uc758\uc9c0\uac00 \ubd84\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc548\uc2ec\ud558\uae30\ub294 \uc774\ub974\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc778(\ubc29\uc5b4\uc801) \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uae09\ub77d, \uc65c? \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 BoE 3.75% 4\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0(7:2)\uc5d0\ub3c4 2\ucc28 \ubb3c\uac00 \uacbd\uace0. CPI Q4 3.25%\ub300\u00b7GDP \uc0c1\ud5a5, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uae30\ud68c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47695,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49823","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49823","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49823"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49823\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47695"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49823"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49823"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49823"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}