{"id":49758,"date":"2026-06-12T19:53:19","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T19:53:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ec%8b%9c%ea%b0%84%eb%8c%80-%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-1%eb%85%84-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T19:53:19","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T19:53:19","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ec%8b%9c%ea%b0%84%eb%8c%80-%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-1%eb%85%84-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ec%8b%9c%ea%b0%84%eb%8c%80-%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-1%eb%85%84-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc870\uc0ac: \ubbf8\uad6d 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ud798 \uc2e4\ub9ac\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 6\uc6d4 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300(University of Michigan) \uc124\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc774\uc804 4.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.6%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \uc644\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc218\uc815\uce58 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc6d4\uac04 0.2%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uba70, \uac00\uaca9 \uae30\ub300\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc640 \uc218\uc694, \uc784\uae08 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud30c\uae09 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \ucc44\uad8c(\uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

1\ub144 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 4.6%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubd80\ubd84 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc791\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0(\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8)\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc18c\ud3ed \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\uac1c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\ud61c\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c 9\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ud55c \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 7\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc554\uc2dc \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 70% \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub0a0 \uc624\uc804 \uae30\uc900 \uc57d 55% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ubbf8 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\ud658\uc728 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc644\ud654\uac00 \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \ucd09\ub9e4\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ub4f1 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud55c \uc139\ud130\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2a6\uc5ec\ub984 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 \uc9c0\uc218 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 VIX\uac00 14\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70, S&P 500\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\uc5b4(iron condor) \ub4f1 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub35c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac 103 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ub4f1 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ubb3c\uac00 \uacf5\ud3ec \ud55c\ud480 \uaebe\uc600\ub2e4?\u201d \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 4.8%\u21924.6%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d. \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\ub300\u2191, SOFR\u00b7\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \ucf5c\u00b7VIX \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47739,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49758"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49758\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47739"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}