TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \uae08\uc744 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc0c1\ubc29 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub3fc \ub9e4\uc218\uc138 \uc720\uc785\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uacaa\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc790\ubb38(CTA)\uc740 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, TD\uc758 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
TD\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \ud575\ud611\uc0c1 \ud0c0\uacb0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc758\uac00 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ubd80\uac01\ub418\uba70 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud575\uc2ec 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc628\uc2a4 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c \ub2e4\uc74c \ud558\ubc29 \ud2b8\ub9ac\uac70(\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ucd09\ubc1c \uad6c\uac04)\ub85c\uc758 \uc811\uadfc\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ud53c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 TD\ub294 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud611\uc0c1 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c\uac00 \u2018\ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\u2019\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc758 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc740 \uc544\uc9c1 \ubd88\uc644\uc804\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud68c\uc0ac \uce21 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ud0c4\ub825\uc744 \ucc3e\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud55c\uce35 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. CPI\uac00 3.1%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ucd5c\uc2e0 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc774\uc790\uac00 \ubd99\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70, \ud604 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub300\ud615 \uc790\ub3d9\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc790\uae08\uc778 CTA\ub4e4\uc740 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubd95\uad34\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 9\uc77c \uc885\ub8cc \uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 COT(Commitment of Traders) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ub9e4\ub2c8\uc9c0\ub4dc \uba38\ub2c8 \uacc4\uc815\uc740 \uc57d 8,000\uacc4\uc57d \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc778\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uac07\ud600 \uc788\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba70, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub4f1 \uc800\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc881\uc740 \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\uba70, \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 2,400\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc628\uc2a4 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud2b8\ub9ac\uac70\ub97c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ud53c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 2,400~2,500\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\uc774 2,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc804\uba74\uc801\uc778 \uc57d\uc138 \uad00\uc810\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4. WTI \uc6d0\uc720\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \uae08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ucd08\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc20f(\uc57d\uc138) \ud3b8\ud5a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uae09\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uc190\uc808(\uc2a4\ud1b1\ub85c\uc2a4)\ub85c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\ub97c \ubcd1\ud589\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u201c\uae08, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uac07\ud788\ub098\u201d TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ub192\uc740 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\ub85c \uc0c1\ubc29 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d. CTA \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc18d 2,400~2,500\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub4f1\ub77d, \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc720\ud6a8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47667,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49749"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49749\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47667"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}