{"id":49715,"date":"2026-06-12T07:53:46","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T07:53:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b6%80%ec%9d%b8%ec%97%90-aud-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-rba-%ea%b0%80\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T07:53:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T07:53:46","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b6%80%ec%9d%b8%ec%97%90-aud-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-rba-%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ed%95%a9%ec%9d%98-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b6%80%ec%9d%b8%ec%97%90-aud-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-rba-%ea%b0%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \u2018\ud569\uc758\u2019 \uc8fc\uc7a5 \ubd80\uc778\uc5d0 AUD\/USD \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5, RBA \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc640 \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 0.22% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 0.7035 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud30c\ub974\uc2a4\ub274\uc2a4(Fars News)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \u201c\ud14c\ud5e4\ub780 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\uc758 \uc2b9\uc778\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uc591\ud574\uac01\uc11c(MOU) \ud569\uc758\uc5d0 \ub3d9\uc758\ud55c \ubc14 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd80\uc778\ud55c \ub4a4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 0.15% \uc624\ub978 99.85 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacc4\ud68d\ub41c \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \ucde8\uc18c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758\uc758 \ucd5c\uc885 \uc7c1\uc810\uc774 \uac1c\ub150\uacfc \uc138\ubd80 \uc0ac\ud56d \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2b9\uc778\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud569\uc758\uac00 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud655\uc815\ub420 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\ub780 \ud56d\ub9cc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbf8 \ud574\uad70\uc758 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA) \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \uad00\ub9dd\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub85c\uc774\ud130 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac\ub294 RBA\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 75bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR)\ub97c 4.35%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\ub294 20\uc77c EMA(0.7103)\uc640 50% \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(0.7054) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 61.8% \uc218\uc900(0.7002) \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac04\uc2e0\ud788 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. RSI(14)\ub294 0.72\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ub4a4 39 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.6929\uc640 0.6834\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.7106 \uc774\ud6c4 0.7171, 0.7274\uc5d0 \uc790\ub9ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 RBA \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud655\ub300<\/h3>\n<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec 0.6700 \ub808\ubca8 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc804\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 RBA\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc2e0\uc911\ud788 \ub300\uae30\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \ub3c4\uc804\uc801 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc 5\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub410\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(18\ub9cc\uba85)\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 25\ub9cc\uba85\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \u201c\ub354 \uc624\ub798, \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac(higher for longer)\u201d \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud22c\uc790 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc740 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc RBA\uac00 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(cash rate)\ub97c 4.10%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc9c8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc6d4\uac04 CPI\uac00 3.2%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 RBA\uc758 2~3% \ubaa9\ud45c \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. RBA\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc870\uae08\uc774\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc904 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubc30\uacbd\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c, AUD\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. 0.6600 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ubd95\uad34\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 0.6520 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a0\uc7ac \ud558\ubc29\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc RBA \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc740 \ud655\uc2e0\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uc9c0\ub9cc RBA \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 RBA \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \ubc1c\ud45c \ub2f9\uc77c AUD\/USD\uac00 \ud3c9\uade0 60\ud54d \uc774\uc0c1 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc544, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ubd80\uac01\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc774\ub780 MOU \ubd80\uc778\u201d\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\u2026AUD\/USD 0.7035\ub85c 0.22% \ud558\ub77d. RBA \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc8fc\ubaa9, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc704\ud0dc. \ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9 \ud638\uc870\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47731,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49715","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49715"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49715\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49715"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49715"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49715"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}