{"id":49712,"date":"2026-06-12T06:27:53","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T06:27:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-aud-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ec%b0%a8\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T06:27:53","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T06:27:53","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-aud-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ec%b0%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-aud-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ed%86%b5%ed%99%94%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ec%b0%a8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026 AUD\/USD \ud558\ub77d, \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 0.7030\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub3c4\ub9e4\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218 \uc608\ube44\uce58\uac00 \ucd08\uc810\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ubd80\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI)\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 6.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 4\uc6d4\uc758 5.7%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\ub300\ub410\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(6.4%)\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 1.1% \uc62c\ub77c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(0.7%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 12\uc6d4 25bp(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 43%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 \uc57d 14%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub6f4 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ub2e4\uc74c \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c\ub2e4. 4\ub300 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc740\ud589\uc740 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc6e8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ud329\uc740 8\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ub514\ucee4\ud50c\ub9c1\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \ub0a0\uc9dc(2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 12\uc77c)\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\ub294 0.6580\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc73c\uba70 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc810\ucc28 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ub418\uba70 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(Core PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.9%\ub85c, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 2.8%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801(\u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c\u2019 \ubb3c\uac00)\uc778 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc131\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uacf5\uace0\ud788 \ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 20%\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ubd88\uacfc \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 50% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\ub77d\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc2dd\uc5c8\uace0, \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc57d\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2027\ub144 \ucd08 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ub69c\ub837\uc774 \ub300\ube44\ub418\uba70, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc870\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810\uacfc \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 AUD\/USD \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. AUD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 \u2018\uba85\ud655\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud55c\uc815\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c, \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871 \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 2022~2023\ub144 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc720\ubc1c\ud588\ub358 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc120\uba85\ud574\uc9c8 \ub54c\ub294 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\uc810\ud654, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub354 \ubc00\ub9ac\ub098?\u201d \ubbf8 PPI\u00b7\uadfc\uc6d0PCE \uc0c1\ud68c\ub85c \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70 AUD\/USD \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825. RBA \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc815\ucc45 \ub514\ucee4\ud50c\ub9c1, \ud48b\ub9e4\uc218\u00b7OTM \ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47697,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49712"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49712\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47697"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}