{"id":49699,"date":"2026-06-12T03:23:29","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T03:23:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9ecb-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T03:23:29","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T03:23:29","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9ecb-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9ecb-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubcf4\ud569\u2026ECB-\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\uc640 \uc635\uc158 \ub808\ubca8\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc120"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 0.36% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \ucde8\uc18c\ud558\uace0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud3c9\ud654\ud611\uc815\uc744 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud78c \ub2e4\uc74c \ub0a0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 1.1579\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\uac00\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc800\uc810\uc778 1.1589 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \ub4a4 1.1600 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4(\ucee8\uc194\ub9ac\ub370\uc774\uc158) \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc911\ub9bd \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc778 50\uc744 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud558\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>1.1600\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, 50\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA)\uc774 1.1655~1.1676\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\ub834\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uc800\ud56d\ub300\ub85c \ubd80\uac01\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 100\uc77c SMA\uac00 \uc704\uce58\ud55c 1.1689\ub97c \uac70\uccd0 1.1700\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c 1.1600 \uc544\ub798\ub97c \uc9c0\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 1.1500 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud55c\ub2e4. 1.1500\uc744 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uba74 3\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uc77c\uac04 \uc800\uc810 1.1443\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud558\uac8c \ub418\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 1.1400\uc774 \ub4a4\ub530\ub978\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc77c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc131\uc801\ud45c(\uc2a4\ucf54\uc5b4\ubcf4\ub4dc)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Current Market Structure and Drivers<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \ubd84\uc11d\uc740 1.1600 \ub808\ubca8\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \ud574\ub2f9 \uac00\uaca9\ub300\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \u2018\uba3c \uacfc\uac70\u2019\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4. \uc624\ub298(2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 12\uc77c) \uae30\uc900 EUR\/USD\ub294 1.0850 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uacfc\uac70 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc6b4\uc6a9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc758\ubbf8\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc778 \ub610\ud55c \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ub0c9\uc5c4\ud55c \ud604\uc2e4\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac(\ub514\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4)\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.9%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74\uc11c ECB\ub294 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ub514\ud50c\ub808\uc774\ud130\uac00 2.5%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574, \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc774\uc804 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uce21\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Technical and Derivatives Landscape<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 1.0900\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d \ub808\ubca8\ub85c \uad00\ucc30\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ub294 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. 1\uac1c\uc6d4\ubb3c \uc635\uc158 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec 6.5%\uc5d0\uc11c 7.2%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. 1.0780 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ubd95\uad34\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc190\uc808\ub9e4(\uc2a4\ud1b1\ub85c\uc2a4) \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc774 \uc5f0\uc1c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ubc1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 2022\ub144\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 Fed \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uc644\ud654\uc801) \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4\uba74 1.0900 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc758 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\ubc29 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub418, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc800\uc810 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c)\ub3c4 \ubcd1\ud589\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d EUR\/USD \ubc18\ub4f1\u2026\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \u2018\uacfc\uac70 \ub808\ubca8\u2019 \uacbd\uace0. \ud604 \uc2dc\uc138 1.0850, ECB \uace0\uae08\ub9ac vs Fed \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec. 1.0900 \uc800\ud56d\u00b71.0780 \ubd95\uad34 \uc2dc \uae09\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49699","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49699","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49699"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49699\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49699"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49699"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49699"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}