{"id":49655,"date":"2026-06-11T15:25:24","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T15:25:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%84-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%ec%88%98%eb%8b%b9-%ec%b2%ad%ea%b5%ac-4%ec%a3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88\/"},"modified":"2026-06-11T15:25:24","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T15:25:24","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%84-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%ec%88%98%eb%8b%b9-%ec%b2%ad%ea%b5%ac-4%ec%a3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%84-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%ec%88%98%eb%8b%b9-%ec%b2%ad%ea%b5%ac-4%ec%a3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305\u00b7\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uac15\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c \uac74\uc218\uc758 4\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc740 6\uc6d4 5\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c \uc8fc\uc5d0 21\ub9cc9,000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c, \uc9c1\uc804 21\ub9cc4,750\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc99d\uac00\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 4\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc2e0\uaddc \uccad\uad6c\uac00 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \ub298\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc218\uce58\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ub9cc\ud654\ub41c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd98\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 21\ub9cc4,750\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c 21\ub9cc9,000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc774\ub3d9\uc740 \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud558\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624<\/h3>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 21\ub9cc9,000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub978 \uc810\uc740 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcfc \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0c9\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud655\uc778\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 16\ub9cc5,000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc644\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 65% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 12\uc6d4\ubb3c SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \ub610\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds) \uc120\ubb3c\uc758 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uc810\ucc28 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uac01\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd: \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\ud658\uc728 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784<\/h3>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc644\ud654\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc55e\ub2f9\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ub098\uc05c \ub274\uc2a4\uac00 \uc88b\uc740 \ub274\uc2a4\u2019\uac00 \ub418\ub294 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \uad6c\ub3c4\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 S&#038;P 500\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c, 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \ub2c8\uc5b4-\ub354-\uba38\ub2c8(near-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc S&#038;P 500\uc774 \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 8% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc62c\ud574 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 14 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ud3c9\uade0(\uc57d 19)\uc744 \ubc11\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc548\uc77c\ud568\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2ec\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc800\ube44\uc6a9(cheap) \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c, 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 2007\ub144 \ub9d0\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uac8c \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc11c\uc11c\ud788 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uacbd\uae30 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \uc120\ud589\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\uc735\u00b7\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac \ub4f1 \uacbd\uae30\ubbfc\uac10 \uc139\ud130 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uc804\uc220\uc801 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud558\ubc29 \ubcf4\ud638\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(dovish)\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc9c0\ub09c \ud55c \ub2ec\uac04 1.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0 21\ub9cc9\ucc9c\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\u2026NFP \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300(65%+) \ud655\ub300. SOFR \ub871\u00b7S&#038;P \ucf5c\u00b7VIX \ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47719,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49655","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49655"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49655\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47719"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49655"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49655"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49655"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}