{"id":49650,"date":"2026-06-11T13:54:35","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T13:54:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%81%88%ec%a0%81%ed%95%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%9d%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-06-11T13:54:35","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T13:54:35","slug":"%eb%81%88%ec%a0%81%ed%95%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%9d%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%81%88%ec%a0%81%ed%95%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%9d%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \uc804\ub9dd \uac1c\uc120\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc720\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub77c\uc6b4\ube0c\ub77c\ub354\uc2a4\ud574\ub9ac\uba3c(Brown Brothers Harriman)\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \u2018\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub454\ud654)\uc758 \uc815\uccb4\u2019 \ubc0f \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2% \ub300\ube44 \ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky) \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\uc9c0\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\uc218\uc694 \uac1c\uc120\uacfc \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \u2018\ud30c\uc774\ud504\ub77c\uc778\u2019(\uc0c1\ub958) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc7ac\uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>5\uc6d4 CPI\ub294 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uc783\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4. \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778(\uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44) \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 3.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.2%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 2023\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\ub294 2.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.9%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc6d4\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\ub294 0.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.2%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c 0.1%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ub7f0\ub358 \uc2dc\uac04 \uc624\ud6c4 1\uc2dc30\ubd84(\ub274\uc695 \uc624\uc804 8\uc2dc30\ubd84) \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 5\uc6d4 PPI\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \u2018\ubb34\uc5ed\u00b7\uc6b4\uc1a1\u00b7\ucc3d\uace0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c PPI \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4(Services less Trade, Transportation, and Warehousing)\u2019\uc640 \u2018\uc8fc\uac70\ube44\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PCE(core services less housing PCE)\u2019\uc758 \uc5f0\uacc4\uc131\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \u2018\uc8fc\uac70\ube44 \uc81c\uc678 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 CPI\u2019, \uc560\ud2c0\ub79c\ud0c0 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud0a4 CPI, \ud074\ub9ac\ube14\ub79c\ub4dc \uc5f0\uc740 \uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0(trimmed mean) \ubc0f \uc911\uc559\uac12(median) CPI \ub4f1\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc810\uac80 \ub300\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>US Dollar Momentum and Trading Strategies<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 4.2%\ub85c \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\ud588\uace0, \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \uba40\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 EUR\/USD \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub4f1 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uac15\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e0\uaddc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 24\ub9cc5000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba70 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc740 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 15% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ubd88\uacfc \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 50%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Fed Policy Outlook and Equity Market Implications<\/h3>\n<p>\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc870\ud569\uc740 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 S&amp;P 500 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub4f1 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9 \uc99d\uac00 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc120\ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc84c\ub358 2022~2023\ub144\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub420 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc5ed\ud559\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub418\ub294 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\uc5d0 \u2018\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc815\uccb4\u2019 \uc6b0\ub824 \ud655\uc0b0. \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \ud638\uc870\ub85c \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4. PPI \ub4f1 \uc0c1\ub958 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc8fc\ubaa9, \uc635\uc158\u00b7S&#038;P500 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47737,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49650","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\uc5d0 \u2018\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc815\uccb4\u2019 \uc6b0\ub824 \ud655\uc0b0. \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \ud638\uc870\ub85c \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4. 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