{"id":49615,"date":"2026-06-11T04:52:36","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T04:52:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%bb%a4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-06-11T04:52:36","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T04:52:36","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%bb%a4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%bb%a4%ec%a7%80%eb%a9%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70 \uae08\uac12 7\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\u20264,050\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\uc811"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08(XAU\/USD)\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ucd08\ubc18 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 4,050\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub97c \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub780 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ubd80\uac01\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uc911\ubd80\uc0ac\ub839\ubd80(CENTCOM)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\uac00 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \u201c\uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc5c6\uace0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uaca9\u201d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\uc751\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \u201c\ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac15\ud558\uac8c\u201d \ud0c0\uaca9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ubd80 \uc0b0\ud558 \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS) \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.2%\ub85c 4\uc6d4\uc758 3.8%\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 3\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 CPI\ub294 0.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.2%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.9% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub204\uc801\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc790\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uae08(\u7121\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0)\uc5d0 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ub300\uc751\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801 \ubcc0\uc218<\/h3>\n<p>4.2%\uc758 \ub192\uc740 CPI \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \uac08\ub4f1 \uaca9\ud654\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub300\uc751\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \uc9d1\uc911\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc778 \ud798\uc774\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uae08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \uc57d\uc138\uc774\uba70, \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub97c 1\ucc28 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234(FedWatch Tool)\uc740 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 25bp(0.25%p) \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 85%\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 50%\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub97c\uc218\ub85d \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc720\uc0ac \uc0ac\ub840<\/h3>\n<p>\uae08 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(GVZ)\uac00 22.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub6f0\uba74\uc11c, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub274\uc2a4\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9cc\ub4e0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\uc74c\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ud48d\ubd80\ud55c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ud655\uc2e0\uc774 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \uc774\ubc88 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\u2019 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\uc774\ub780 \uad70\uc0ac\ud589\ub3d9\uc774 \uc911\ub300\ud558\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae09\ub4f1(\uc138\uc774\ud504\ud5e4\uc774\ube10 \ub7a0\ub9ac)\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c, \ud574\ub2f9 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uacf5\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0\ub294 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uc190\uc808\ub9e4(\uc2a4\ud1b1\ub85c\uc2a4) \uc124\uc815\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 1980\ub144\ub300 \ucd08 \ubcfc\ucee4(Volcker) \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uace0\ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\uc548\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc9d3\ub20c\ub800\ub358 \uc2dc\uae30\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\uc5d0 \uac15\ud55c \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \ub54c \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc5d0\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc5ed\ud48d\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc5ed\ud559\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12, \u20184,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd95\uad34\u2019 \uacbd\uace0\ub4f1\u2026\ubbf8 CPI 4.2%\ub85c \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub418\uba70 XAU\/USD 4,050\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud558\ub77d. \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubcc0\uc218 \uc6b0\uc704, \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \uc9c0\uc18d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47747,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uae08\uac12, \u20184,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd95\uad34\u2019 \uacbd\uace0\ub4f1\u2026\ubbf8 CPI 4.2%\ub85c \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub418\uba70 XAU\/USD 4,050\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud558\ub77d. \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubcc0\uc218 \uc6b0\uc704, \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \uc9c0\uc18d.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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