{"id":49604,"date":"2026-06-11T02:24:26","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T02:24:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-3\/"},"modified":"2026-06-11T02:24:26","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T02:24:26","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-3\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 3% \uae09\ub77d\u2026\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc555\ubc15"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019(higher-for-longer) \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba74\uc11c \uc218\uc694\uc77c 3% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. XAU\/USD\ub294 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 4,105\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud55c \ub4a4 4,130\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\ub294 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uaca9 \uc7ac\uac1c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c \ub370\ub2e4, \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc694\ub974\ub2e8\u00b7\ucfe0\uc6e8\uc774\ud2b8\u00b7\ubc14\ub808\uc778\uc758 \ubbf8\uad70 \uae30\uc9c0\ub97c \ud0c0\uaca9\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub098\uc624\uba70 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc704\ucd95\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 4.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 3\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 4\uc6d4 3.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 5\uc6d4 3.9%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\ub294 2.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.9%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \ubb34\ub835 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc554\uc2dc\uc801 \uae34\ucd95 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 25bp\uc5d0\uc11c 21bp\ub85c \ub2e4\uc18c \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\uc640 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uae08\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ub354\ud588\ub2e4. WTI\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 91.00\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 2.62% \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc57d 2bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 4.536%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 5\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI)\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PPI\ub294 6.0%\uc5d0\uc11c 6.4%\ub85c, \uadfc\uc6d0 PPI\ub294 5.2%\uc5d0\uc11c 5.4%\ub85c \uac01\uac01 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 6\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218\ub294 22\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac74\uc5d0\uc11c 21\ub9cc9\ucc9c \uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 4,098\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 1\ucc28 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 3,886\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc740 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) \ubd80\uadfc 4,443\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,500\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc 20 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc57d 700\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec(1,136\ud1a4) \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uae08\uc744 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ed\ud559<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uae08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc57d\uc138(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc) \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ub048\uc9c8\uae34 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c, \uc774\uc790\uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2f9\uc0ac\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 XAU\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d CPI 4.2%\ub294 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uba70 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud575\uc2ec\uc801\uc778 \ub3d9\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 70%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud750\ub984 \ud655\uc778\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 PPI\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \ud575\uc2ec \ub808\ubca8<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \uac08\ub4f1\uc740 \uc774\ub840\uc801 \uc591\uc0c1\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. WTI\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 91\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub85c\uc11c\uc758 \uae08 \ub9e4\ub825 \ud655\ub300\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ub354 \uc790\uadf9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 1970\ub144\ub300\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc1fc\ud06c\ub294 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uae34\ucd95\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc5d0 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc778 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574\uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad6c\ub3c4 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c 10\ub144\ubb3c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 4.536%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc120 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uac00 \ub300\uccb4 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 4,098\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ud68c \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c \ud0c0\uae43\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc800\uc810(YTD low)\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud55c \ub354 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ud558\ub77d \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub418 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc0ac\uc804\uc5d0 \uc815\uc758\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \ucd5c\uadfc 106\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub3c4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ub825 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. RSI\uac00 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud558\uace0\ub294 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc544\uc9c1 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc544, \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uac00 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub354 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658\uc740 \uae08\uc774 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc778 4,443\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc7ac\ud0c8\ud658\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub9cc \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \ud604 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uae08, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc778\ub370 \uc65c \uae09\ub77d?\u201d \u7f8e CPI 4.2%\ub85c \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba70 3% \ub118\uac8c \ubc00\ub824 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud558\ubc29 \uc6b0\uc138.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47727,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49604","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49604","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49604"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49604\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47727"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49604"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49604"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49604"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}