{"id":49591,"date":"2026-06-10T22:22:43","date_gmt":"2026-06-10T22:22:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-2-25-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-06-10T22:22:43","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T22:22:43","slug":"%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-2-25-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-2-25-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 2.25% \ub3d9\uacb0\u2026\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubca0\ud305 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728 1.40\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \uacf5\ubc29"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.25%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, 5\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\ub85c \uc18c\uac1c\ub410\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 GMT 13:45\uc5d0 \ub098\uc654\uace0, \ud2f0\ud504 \ub9e5\ud074\ub818 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc740 GMT 14:30\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. BoC\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \u2018\uc77c\ub2e8 \ud1b5\uacfc(look through)\u2019\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud558\uac8c \uc804\uac00(pass-through)\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc99d\uac70\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \ub450\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. BoC\ub294 \ucd1d\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 3% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub2e4\uac00 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \uc644\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uacbd\uae30 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uce68\uccb4(recession)\ub294 \uc544\ub2c8\uace0 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ucd08\uacfc\uacf5\uae09(excess supply) \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ud1b5\uc0c1\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub410\uace0, \uc815\ubd80 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc740 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 4\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 1\ub144\uac04 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI\ub294 2%\ub85c \uc774\uc804 2.2%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.1%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. CPI-Common, Trimmed, Median\uc740 \uac01\uac01 2.5%, 2%, 2.1%\uc600\ub2e4. \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 3%~3.5%\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \u2018\uae34\ucd95\u2019\uc774 35bp\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. FX\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 USD\/CAD\uac00 1.3900\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc7a5\uc911 1.4000 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub41c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c\ub294 1.3966\uacfc 1.4140\uc774, \ud558\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 1.3813, 1.3770, 1.3949, 1.3525, 1.3504\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 68 \ubd80\uadfc, ADX\ub294 30\uc744 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\uc640 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>BoC\ub294 2.25%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\uace0\ud558\uac8c \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub294 \uc5ec\ub984\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc57d\ud55c \uacbd\uae30\uc640 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uade0\ud615\uc744 \ub9de\ucd98 \uacb0\uacfc\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uae30\ub294 \ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 5\uc6d4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.1%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ud718\ubc1c\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c(sticky) \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud658\uc728 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \ud070 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. USD\/CAD\ub294 1.4000\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc7ac\uac1c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacbd\uae30 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc57d 3\ub9cc \uba85 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc758\uc874\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6d4\uac04 CPI\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uac19\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \u2018\uc694\ub3d9(=choppiness)\u2019\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>BoC\uc758 \uad00\ub9dd(wait-and-see) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ub2e8\uae30 CAD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc740 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ud1b5\uc0c1\uc815\ucc45 \ub4f1 \uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud558\uba74\uc11c 1\uac1c\uc6d4\ubb3c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 2023\ub144 BoC\uc758 \ub2e4\ud68c\ucc28 \ub3d9\uacb0\ucc98\ub7fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \u2018\uc815\ucc45 \uacf5\ubc31\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub2e8\uae30\uad6c\uac04(front-end) \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 2.25% 5\uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\u2026\uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uc720\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9\uc740 \u2018\uc77c\ub2e8 \ud1b5\uacfc\u2019\ud558\ub418 \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub294 \uacbd\uacc4. CPI \ub454\ud654 \uc18d USD\/CAD 1.40 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47739,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49591","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49591","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49591"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49591\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47739"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49591"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49591"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49591"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}