{"id":49589,"date":"2026-06-10T21:22:38","date_gmt":"2026-06-10T21:22:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%84%a0%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ec%97%90-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-06-10T21:22:38","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T21:22:38","slug":"%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%84%a0%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ec%97%90-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%84%a0%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ec%97%90-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd \uc120\ubc18\uc601\uc5d0 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc18d \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4\ud654(JPY)\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 6.3%\ub85c \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 G10 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc5d0 \ub4a4\ucc98\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ub3c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\uc5d0\ub2e4 \uac00\uc988\uc624 BOJ \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \uc785\uc6d0\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub294 \uc758\uc0ac\uacb0\uc815 \uacfc\uc815\uc758 \ub9ac\ub354\uc2ed\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300(\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1)\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4(USD\/JPY)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \u2018\uac74\uc124\uc801(constructive)\u2019\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc654\uace0, \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc18d \uacac\uc870\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI)\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc778 70\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0\uc11c \ud754\ud788 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ub418\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. 162\uc120 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uc6b0\uc138\ud574, \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ud3b8\ud5a5\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 BOJ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 5\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc654\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ubd81\ubbf8\uc7a5 \uc9c4\uc785\uc744 \uc55e\ub454 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 G10 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ub300\ube44 \uc5b8\ub354\ud37c\ud3fc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc624\ub298(2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 10\uc77c) \uae30\uc900 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc740 158.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc 6\uc6d4 17\uc77c BOJ \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c OIS(\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc651)\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 95%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud55c \ucc28\ub840(25bp) \uc778\uc0c1\ub3c4 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc804\uad6d CPI\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.9%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc758 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uadf8\ub9bc\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub418\uba70 162\uc120 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. RSI \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uac15\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218 \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc720\uc758\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc815\ubd80(\ub2f9\uad6d) \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc774 2024\ub144 \ub9d0 \ud658\uc728\uc774 160\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub098\uc130\ub358 \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub825\uc0c1 160\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \ub808\ubca8\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud560\uc218\ub85d \ud604\ubb3c(\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131) \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcf4\uc720\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. BOJ \ud68c\uc758 \ubc0f \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ud658\uc2dc \uac1c\uc785\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 9.5%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \ub2e8\uc21c \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread)\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 7\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \uae30\uc900 159\ud589\uc0ac \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 161.50\ud589\uc0ac \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uac00 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc775 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub514\ud30c\uc778)\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucdb0\uc8fc\uace0, \ubaa9\ud45c \uad6c\uac04\uc778 162 \uc544\ub798\ub85c\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5d4\ud654, PPI \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub3c4 \uc18c\uc6a9\uc5c6\ub098\u2026BOJ 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \uac15\uc138 \u2018\uac74\uc124\uc801\u2019. 162\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc800\ud56d \uc81c\ud55c\u00b7RSI \uacfc\uc5f4 \uacbd\uace0, 160 \ubd80\uadfc \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ubd88\ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47777,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49589","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com 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content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%84%a0%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ec%97%90-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-10T21:22:38+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-06-10T21:22:38+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd \uc120\ubc18\uc601\uc5d0 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc18d \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\uc5d4\ud654, PPI \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub3c4 \uc18c\uc6a9\uc5c6\ub098\u2026BOJ 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \uac15\uc138 \u2018\uac74\uc124\uc801\u2019. 162\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc800\ud56d \uc81c\ud55c\u00b7RSI \uacfc\uc5f4 \uacbd\uace0, 160 \ubd80\uadfc \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ubd88\ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc8fc\ubaa9.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"aioseo-schema\">\n\t\t\t{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"BlogPosting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.vtmarkets.com\\\/kr-asia\\\/live-updates\\\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%84%a0%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ec%97%90-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\\\/#blogposting\",\"name\":\"\\uc77c\\ubcf8\\uc740\\ud589 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