EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba74\uc11c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc218\uc785 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub410\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 1.1553\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 1.1499\ub97c \ud130\uce58\ud55c \ub4a4 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud569\uc758\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub780\uacfc \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc774 \uc801\ub300 \ud589\uc704\ub97c \uc911\ub2e8\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \ud569\uc758\uac00 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud655\uc815\ub418\uba74 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub2e4\ub9cc \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc774 \ub808\ubc14\ub17c \ub0a8\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c \uc791\uc804\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc774\ub780\uc740 \uacf5\uaca9\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc804\ud22c\uac00 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc870\uc815 \ud3ed\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 99.89\uc120\uc73c\ub85c, \uc77c\uc911 0.12% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 35%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.2%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70(4\uc6d4 3.8%), \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc608\uc815\ub41c FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud55c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc911\ub3d9\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc678\uad50\uc801 \ub300\ud654\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\ucda9\uc9c0\uc778 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ucda9\ub3cc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 WTI \uc720\uac00\ub97c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 78\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ub370\ub3c4 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc785 \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc5d0\ub294 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ud604\uc7ac \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 1.0950\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70, \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc815\uc810\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\ub358 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 1.0880 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub3c4 \uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uc77c\uc911 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 103.55\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08 \ucd08\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub2e8\ud589\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4, \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uadf8 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc810\uac80\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uad00\ub9dd \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac04 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool \uae30\uc900 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 20%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \u2018\ub300\uae30\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uac8c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc57d 2.9% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558 \uc9c0\uc5f0 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.5%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uace0\ucc29\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub300\uc11c\uc591 \uac74\ub108 \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\ub3c4 \uc790\uccb4\uc801\uc778 \uacfc\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc720\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. ECB \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ub85c \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.1%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc740 ECB\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\uc18d\ubcf4: \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\uc804\uc218\uc694\uac00 \uaebe\uc774\uba70 EUR\/USD \ubc18\ub4f1, 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 1.1550\uc120 \ud68c\ubcf5. \ub2e4\ub9cc Fed \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\ub300\u00b7\ubbf8 CPI\u00b7ECB \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubcc0\uc218.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47768,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49509","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49509"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49509\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47768"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49509"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}