{"id":49508,"date":"2026-06-09T22:22:38","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T22:22:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-2%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99\/"},"modified":"2026-06-09T22:22:38","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T22:22:38","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-2%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-2%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec, 2\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \uadfc\uc811\u2026\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC) \uacb0\uc815\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d CPI \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubcc0\uc218 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c 1.3950\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\ub0a0\uae4c\uc9c0 4\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c8\uac10\ud55c \ub4a4, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc740\ud589(BoC) \uacb0\uc815(\uc218\uc694\uc77c)\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \ubc18\ub0a9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 1.3961\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uacfc \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc774 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ud638\uc18c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c1\ud638 \uacf5\uaca9 \uc911\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ud569\uc758\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\uace0, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uad70\uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ud2f0\ub808(Tyre) \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc989\uac01 \ub300\ud53c\ub97c \uc9c0\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4\uc640, \ubca0\ub0d0\ubbfc \ub124\ud0c0\ub0d0\ud6c4 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uac00 \uc774\ub780 \ubc0f \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c\uc640\uc758 \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \u201c\uc544\uc9c1 \ub05d\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c \uc810 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uacc4\uc2ec\uc740 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub410\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 12\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 43%\ub85c, \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 14%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc218\uc694\uc77c CPI, \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c PPI \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc758 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \ud310\ub2e8\uc740 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub294\ub370, \ub77c\ubcf4\ubc45\ud06c\ub294 GDP\uac00 2\uac1c \ubd84\uae30 \uc5f0\uc18d \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud55c \ubc18\uba74 RBC\ub294 \uc778\uad6c \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc758 \uc774\ub840\uc801 \uae09\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c GDP \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc2e4\ubb3c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uacfc\ub300 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c BoC \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 2.25%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub77c\ubcf4\ubc45\ud06c \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub3d9 \uc218\uc900 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub9b0 \uc2dc\uc120<\/h3>\n<p>USD\/CAD\uac00 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810(1.3961) \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc870\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc218\uc694\uc77c BoC \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud575\uc2ec \ucd09\ub9e4\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2.25% \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc815\ubcf4\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc131\uba85(\ubb38\uad6c) \ud1a4\uacfc \uc774\ud6c4 \uacf5\uac1c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc62c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 1\ucc28 \ud3ec\ucee4\uc2a4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc774 29\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub77c\ub294 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ub4a4, CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ud604\uc7ac 43%\uc778 12\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 60%\ub97c \ub118\uae38 \uc18c\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. CPI \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc18d \uc804\uc220\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 BoC\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uc790\uccb4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud55c\ub2e4. WTI\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 75\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc120 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uc644\ud654\uc801) \uc5b8\uc5b4\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \ub8e8\ub2c8\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2022\ub144 \ub9d0\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub418\ub294\ub370, \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 BoC\ub97c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95\uc801)\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub780-\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uac04 \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \ud734\uc804\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 14 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\ud574\uacb0 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uac08\ub4f1 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6e0\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc800\ub834\ud55c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc0c1\ucda9\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ud63c\uc7ac\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 USD\/CAD\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud604\ubb3c(\uc2a4\ud31f) \uc9c1\uc811 \ubcf4\uc720\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\ud574\ub97c \ud45c\ud604\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 BoC\uac00 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \uc704\ud574, \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 1.4050 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 7\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc9c0\uae09 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud574, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \ub354 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c1.40 \ub208\uc55e\u201d USD\/CAD, 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc11c \uc228\uace0\ub974\uae30\u2026BoC \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\ub825 \uc18d \uad00\uac74\uc740 \uc131\uba85 \ud1a4\uacfc \ubbf8 CPI\u00b7PPI. \ud734\uc804\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uacbd\uacc4 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 CAD \ubd80\ub2f4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49508"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49508\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}