{"id":49499,"date":"2026-06-09T20:23:13","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T20:23:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b4%ec%a3%bc%ed%83%9d-%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-06-09T20:23:13","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T20:23:13","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b4%ec%a3%bc%ed%83%9d-%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b4%ec%a3%bc%ed%83%9d-%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc874\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uae30\uc870 \uac15\ud654\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae30\uc874\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4(Existing Home Sales)\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc728 417\ub9cc \uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58(407\ub9cc \uac74)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \ud310\ub9e4 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacac\uc870\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>5\uc6d4 \ubc1c\ud45c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c 10\ub9cc \uac74 \uc6c3\ub3c8 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\ub85c, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\ud0dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uac70\ub798(\ud68c\uc804\uc728) \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc640 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud568\uc758<\/h3>\n<p>5\uc6d4 \uae30\uc874\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc774 \uae30\uc874\uc5d0 \uc0dd\uac01\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uc2dd\ud614\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc804\ud558\uba70, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ub048\uc9c8\uae30\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uae30\uc800 \uac15\ub3c4\uac00 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS) \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uac04 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.1%\ub85c \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uace0, \uc8fc\ud0dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \ub354\uc6b1 \uac15\ud654\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ec\ub984\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud655\uace0\ud788 \ud14c\uc774\ube14 \uc704\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc654\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool\uc740 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uac70\uc758 40%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba70\uce60 \ub0b4 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud655\ub960\uc774 25%\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3cc \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uace0, 3\ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub97c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\uccb4\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc139\ud130\ubcc4 \uae30\ud68c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc139\ud130\uc758 \uc218\uc694 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac74\uc124 \ubc0f \uac74\uc790\uc7ac \uad00\ub828 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ud0c4\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc139\ud130\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub3c4 \uc774\ubc88 \ub274\uc2a4\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud574\uc678 \uc790\ubcf8\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(dovish) \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud2b9\ud788 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud328\ud134\uc740 2023\ub144 \ub9d0\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(Fed pivot) \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub4a4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub918\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc790\uc0b0\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc900\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 5\uc6d4 \uae30\uc874\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4 417\ub9cc\uac74, \uc608\uc0c1 407\ub9cc\uac74 \uc0c1\ud68c \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019. \uacbd\uae30 \ud0c4\ub825 \ud655\uc778\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4, \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ubd80\uc0c1. \uc8fc\ud0dd\u00b7\uc790\uc7ac \uac15\uc138, \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c \uae30\ud68c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47739,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ubbf8 5\uc6d4 \uae30\uc874\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4 417\ub9cc\uac74, \uc608\uc0c1 407\ub9cc\uac74 \uc0c1\ud68c \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019. \uacbd\uae30 \ud0c4\ub825 \ud655\uc778\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4, \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ubd80\uc0c1. \uc8fc\ud0dd\u00b7\uc790\uc7ac \uac15\uc138, \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c 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