{"id":49498,"date":"2026-06-09T20:22:25","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T20:22:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-5%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b4%ec%a3%bc%ed%83%9d-%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-3-2-%ea%b8%89%ec%a6%9d%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9e%a5%ea%b8%b0%ed%99%94\/"},"modified":"2026-06-09T20:22:25","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T20:22:25","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-5%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b4%ec%a3%bc%ed%83%9d-%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-3-2-%ea%b8%89%ec%a6%9d%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9e%a5%ea%b8%b0%ed%99%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-5%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b4%ec%a3%bc%ed%83%9d-%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-3-2-%ea%b8%89%ec%a6%9d%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9e%a5%ea%b8%b0%ed%99%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d 5\uc6d4 \uae30\uc874\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4 3.2% \uae09\uc99d\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uae30\ub300 \uac15\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc874 \uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4\uac00 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 3.2% \uc99d\uac00\ud574, \uc804\uc6d4(0.2% \uc99d\uac00)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc99d\uac00\ud3ed\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uae30\uac04 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc774\ub904\uc84c\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.  <\/p>\n<p>5\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \uc99d\uac00\uc728 \ub300\ube44 3.0%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uae30\uc874 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc5f0\uc18d\uc801 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, \ubd04\ucca0 \ucd08\ubc18\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ub41c \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uc6d4\uac04 \uc99d\uac00\uc138\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ud568\uc758 \ubc0f \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 5\uc6d4 \uae30\uc874 \uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4 \uae09\uc99d\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uae30\ucd08 \uccb4\ub825\uc774 \uae30\uc874 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc18c\ube44 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\uc874 \ud0c0\uc784\ub77c\uc778\uc744 \uc7ac\uac80\ud1a0\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc774\uc804 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \ubc0f \uc139\ud130 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5ec\ub984\ucca0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ubc30\uc81c(\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601)\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c 9\uc6d4\ubb3c SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234(FedWatch Tool) \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4, \uc774\ubc88\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uac15\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 7\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc554\ubb35\uc801 \ud655\ub960\uc740 50% \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c 25%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac74\uc124 \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc5c5\uc885\uc740 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud310\ub9e4\uc640 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc218\uc694\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac74\uc124 ETF(XHB) \ubc0f \uc218\uc8fc\uc794\uace0\uac00 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \uac1c\ubcc4 \uae30\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uac15\ud55c \uc8fc\ud0dd\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 \uad00\ub828 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc804\uad6d \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc7ac\uace0\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 10\ub144 \ud3c9\uade0 \ub300\ube44 15% \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uadf8 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud55c\ud3b8, \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uacbd\uae30\uc640 \ub192\uc740 \ucc28\uc785\ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ucda9\ub3cc\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ubc0f \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uce58 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc8fc\ud0dd \ubc0f \uae08\uc735 \uc139\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100(QQQ) \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d 5\uc6d4 \uae30\uc874\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4 3.2% \uae09\uc99d, \uacbd\uae30 \uccb4\ub825 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778. \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc774\uc804 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\ub300. SOFR \ub9e4\ub3c4, \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac74\uc124\u00b7XHB \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218, QQQ \ud48b \ud5e4\uc9c0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47735,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ubbf8\uad6d 5\uc6d4 \uae30\uc874\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4 3.2% \uae09\uc99d, \uacbd\uae30 \uccb4\ub825 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778. \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc774\uc804 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\ub300. 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