{"id":49407,"date":"2026-06-08T19:53:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T19:53:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-2026%eb%85%84%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-06-08T19:53:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T19:53:31","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-2026%eb%85%84%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-2026%eb%85%84%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9 \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd \ud655\uc0b0\u2026\ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub3c4 \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c8 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c, \uc774\uc804 \ub2ec \uc218\uce58\uc758 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc720\uac00 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 2026\ub144 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud588\ub2e4. \ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8 WIRP\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 6\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \u2018\uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud55c\u2019 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 2026\ub144 \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc18\uc601\uc740 \uc774\uc81c 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 40%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0, \uc644\ud654\ub294 2027\ub144\uc5d0 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub418\ub418 2027\ub144 2\ubd84\uae30 \ub9d0\uacfc 4\ubd84\uae30 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \uac01\uac01 1\ucc28\ub840\uc529, \ucd1d 2\ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c0\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uac15\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uacfc \uace0\ucc29\ud654\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc18d \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300 \u2018\ub9ac\uc14b\u2019<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 27\ub9cc5000\uac1c\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc744 3.8%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucd98 \uc810\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc124\uc815\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. WTI \uc6d0\uc720\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc62c\ud574 \uc548\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub780 \uadfc\uac70\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc18c\uba78\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a5\uae30 \ub3d9\uacb0\ub85c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\ub3c4 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ub0b4\ub193\uc73c\uba70 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798, \ub354 \ub192\uac8c(higher for longer)\u2019 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc774\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc740 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 6\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ub354 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uac83\uc740 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc778 40%\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub17c\uc7c1\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \u2018\uc5b8\uc81c \uc778\ud558\ud558\ub290\ub0d0\u2019\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \u2018\ub2e4\uc74c \uc870\uce58\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub290\ub0d0\u2019\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uba70 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub9e4\uc218 \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uc7ac\ubc30\uce58\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \ub4c0\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uae34 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub4f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc720\ub825\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \u2018\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uad6c\uac04\u2019\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uace0\uc9c8\uc801\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc18\uc601\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud588\ub358 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4. 2022~2023\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(pivot)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc131\uae09\ud55c \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc88c\uc808\ub41c \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubaa9\uaca9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0, \uc644\ud654\ub294 2027\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \ubb34\ub835\uc5d0\uc57c \uc2dc\uc791\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uad6c\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018\uace0\uc6a9 \uc1fc\ud06c+\uc720\uac00 \uac15\uc138\u2019\uc5d0 Fed \ud53c\ubc97 \uae30\ub300 \ubd95\uad34. 6\uc6d4 FOMC \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\uc2e4\uc2dc, 2026\ub144 \uc778\ud558 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc18c\uba78. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 40%, \uc644\ud654\ub294 2027\ub144 2\ud68c\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47719,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49407","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49407","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49407"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49407\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47719"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49407"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49407"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49407"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}