{"id":49378,"date":"2026-06-08T12:53:42","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T12:53:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-25bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%9d%84-%ec%9d%b4%eb%af%b8-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ed%95%9c-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-ecb%ec%9d%98-%ed%8f%ac%ec%9b%8c%eb%93%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-06-08T12:53:42","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T12:53:42","slug":"%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-25bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%9d%84-%ec%9d%b4%eb%af%b8-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ed%95%9c-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-ecb%ec%9d%98-%ed%8f%ac%ec%9b%8c%eb%93%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-25bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%9d%84-%ec%9d%b4%eb%af%b8-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ed%95%9c-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-ecb%ec%9d%98-%ed%8f%ac%ec%9b%8c%eb%93%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 ECB\uc758 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc8fc\uc2dc\u2026 9\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uce58\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 25bp(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 2023\ub144 9\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uccab \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \u2018\uc644\uc804 \ubc18\uc601(fully priced)\u2019\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 ECB\uac00 \ud6c4\uc18d \uc870\uce58\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\ub294\uc9c0, \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294\uc9c0\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac04\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c \uacac\ud574\ub294 7\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d(\ubc31\ud22c\ubc31) \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc2dc\uae30\uc0c1\uc870\uc774\uba70, \ub300\uc2e0 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 25bp \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc810\uccd0\uc9c4\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc774\ud6c4\ub85c\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud574 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc81c\uc57d\uc801(restrictive) \uc601\uc5ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ub9c9\uace0, 2027\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ub0a8\uae38 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ucc38\uace0\ub85c ECB\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c 4.5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uace0\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uace0 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\ub294 \ub454\ud654\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc5ec\uac74\ub3c4 \uc545\ud654\ub41c \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uac15\uc870\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc644\uc804 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c ECB\uc758 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uae30\uc815\uc0ac\uc2e4\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud0c0\ud2b8(Eurostat) \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c 5\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 2.7%\ub85c \uc644\uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc774\ud6c4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \uc774\ubbf8 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0\uc11c ECB \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubb38\uad6c(\uc5b8\uc5b4)\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>7\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc8fc\ub294 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc815\uc9c0(pause)\u2019 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4\uba74 \uc77c\ubd80\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(dovish) \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120 \ub2e8\uae30 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654(flatten)\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc5ec\ub984 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc720\ub9ac\ubcf4(Euribor) \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uce58 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f4\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9e7\uace0 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>ECB\ub294 \ud63c\uc7ac\ub41c \uacbd\uae30 \uc0c1\ud669\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc6b4\uc2e0\uc758 \ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. HCOB \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc885\ud569 PMI(\uc18d\ubcf4\uce58)\uac00 52.5\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uae34 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \ub610 \ucd5c\uadfc \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc790\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud560 \uadfc\uac70\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc9e7\uace0 \uc644\ub9cc\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 450bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub358 2022~2023\ub144\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uace0\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uace0 \uc815\ubd80 \uc7ac\uc815\uc774 \uc555\ubc15\ubc1b\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud6e8\uc52c \u2018\uac00\ubcbc\uc6b4\u2019 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uc694\uad6c\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc7a5\uae30 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2027\ub144 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc5f4\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\ucde8(receiving fixed)\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uac70\ub098, \uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub4f1\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ECB 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \u2018\uc644\uc804 \ubc18\uc601\u2019\u2026\uc9c4\uc9dc \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc2e0\ud638\uba74 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\u00b7\uace1\uc120 \ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654, \ub2e4\uc74c \ubca0\ud305\uc740 9\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 25bp. \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 2027\ub144 \uc778\ud558 \uc635\uc158\ub3c4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47709,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49378"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49378\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}