{"id":49372,"date":"2026-06-08T09:53:37","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T09:53:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ec%b0%a8%ec%a7%88-14%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b0%90%ec%86%8c%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90\/"},"modified":"2026-06-08T09:53:37","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T09:53:37","slug":"%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ec%b0%a8%ec%a7%88-14%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b0%90%ec%86%8c%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ec%b0%a8%ec%a7%88-14%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b0%90%ec%86%8c%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 14%\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc7ac\uace0 \uac10\uc18c\ub85c \uc720\uac00 \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\u2026\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784 \uacbd\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784(Societe Generale)\uc758 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc57d 14% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uac00\ub294 \ucda9\uaca9 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ub35c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 1973\ub144 \uc544\ub78d \uc11d\uc720 embargo \ub2f9\uc2dc \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 7%\uc600\ub358 \uac83\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 3\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \uad00\uce21\ub410\ub358 \uc57d 60% \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc57d 30% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\uace0, 1973\ub144\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ub41c 134% \uae09\ub4f1\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uace0\uac1d\ub4e4\uacfc \ub17c\uc758\ud55c 10\uac00\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc1c4 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc911\uad6d \uc218\uc694\uc758 \ud6fc\uc190(demand destruction), \uace0\uc720\uac00\uc758 \uccb4\uac10 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \ub454\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654, \uc7ac\uace0 \uac10\uc18c(\ub4dc\ub85c\ub2e4\uc6b4), \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\ubc1c \uc6b0\ud638\uc801 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc548\ub3c4\uac10\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ub4ef\ud55c \uc120\ubb3c\uace1\uc120(\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \ucee4\ube0c) \ub4f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc7ac\uace0\uac00 \uc904\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30(\ud504\ub86c\ud504\ud2b8) \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub354 \ube61\ube61\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc2e4\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ube44\uc2fc \ud604\ubb3c \ud654\ubb3c(spot cargoes)\uc744 \ub450\uace0 \uacbd\uc7c1\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \uae30\uc874\uc758 \ub354 \uc800\ub834\ud55c \uc7ac\uace0\ub97c \uc18c\uc9c4\ud574 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ucda9\ub2f9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae34\ucd95\uc774 \uac00\ub824\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ud604\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc774\uc5f0(Deferred) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub108\ubb34 \uc57d\ud574 \ube44(\u975e)OPEC \uacf5\uae09\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ud22c\uc790 \uc720\uc778\uc744 \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uba70, \ucee4\ube0c\uc758 \ub354 \uba3c \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790 \ud5e4\uc9d5\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc575\ucee4 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \uc804\ub7b5\ube44\ucd95\uc720(SPR)\uac00 \uc7ac\uad6c\ucd95\ub418\uace0 \uc7ac\uace0 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \ub35c \uc548\ub77d\ud574\uc9c0\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub9ac\ubc38\ub7f0\uc2f1\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud558\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2e4\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2e4\ubb3c \uc6d0\uc720 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \ud604 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc911\ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc5d0\ub3c4 WTI\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uae30\ucd08\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uae09 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud568\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc815\ubcf4\uccad(EIA) \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub3c4 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc7ac\uace0 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \uac83\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac, \uc7ac\uace0\uac00 420\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4 \uac10\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019 \ub4dc\ub85c\uc6b0\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \ube44\uc2fc \ud604\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubcf4\uc720 \uc911\uc778 \uae30\uc874(\ub354 \uc800\ub834\ud55c) \uc7ac\uace0\ub97c \uc18c\uc9c4\ud568\uc73c\ub85c\uc368 \uac00\ub824\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \ud574\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4. \uc7ac\uace0\ub294 \uc720\ud55c\ud558\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac \uacc4\uc808 \uae30\uc900 5\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc7ac\uace0\uac00 \ub354 \uc18c\uc9c4\ub418\uba74 \ub9e4\uc218\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud560 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc120\ubb3c\uace1\uc120\uacfc \uae30\ucd08 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ubc14<\/h3>\n<p>\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \ucee4\ube0c\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc624\ud574\ub97c \ubd88\ub7ec\uc77c\uc73c\ud0a4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4\ubb3c \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 79\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \ube44(\u975e)OPEC \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc790\ubcf8 \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \uc720\uc778\ud558\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\uc871\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacb0\uad6d \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uade0\ud615\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0 \ube44\ucdb0\ubcfc \ub54c, \uc7a5\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uc800\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc911\uad6d\uc758 5\uc6d4 \ucc28\uc774\uc2e0(Caixin) \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 51.9\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc218\uc694 \ud6fc\uc190 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uacfc\uc7a5\ub410\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. 1973\ub144 \ucda9\uaca9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uad6c\uac04\uc774\ub098 2022\ub144 \uae09\ub4f1 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub4ef, \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc774 \uc7a6\uc544\ub4e4\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654(repricing)\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uac15\uc870\ub410\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uacb0\uad6d \uc804\ub7b5\ube44\ucd95\uc720\ub97c \uc7ac\ucda9\uc804\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\uba70, \ud604 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud560 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc720\uac00, \uc65c \uc548 \ub6f0\ub098\u201d \uacf5\uae09 14% \uae09\uac10\uc5d0\ub3c4 WTI 85\ub2ec\ub7ec\u2026\uc7ac\uace0 \uc18c\uc9c4\uc774 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub838\ub2e4. SPR \uc7ac\ucd95\u00b7\ube44OPEC \ud22c\uc790 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774\uba74 \uacb0\uad6d \ub9ac\ubc38\ub7f0\uc2f1 \uc704\ud574 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc694\uad6c\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47679,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49372","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49372","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49372"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49372\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47679"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49372"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49372"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49372"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}