{"id":49326,"date":"2026-06-04T13:56:01","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T13:56:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%a7%80%eb%b6%81-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%95%95%eb%a0%a5-%ec%9e%ac%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9\/"},"modified":"2026-06-04T13:56:01","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T13:56:01","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%a7%80%eb%b6%81-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%95%95%eb%a0%a5-%ec%9e%ac%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%a7%80%eb%b6%81-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%95%95%eb%a0%a5-%ec%9e%ac%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\ubd81 \u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\u2026\uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uacac\uc870\u201d \uc18d \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\ubd81\uc740 11\uac1c \uad00\ud560\uad6c\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \u201c\uac70\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uac70\ub098 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ubbf8\ubbf8\ud588\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 1\uac1c \uad6c\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \u201c\uc911\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\ud55c(moderate to strong)\u201d \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc758 \uad00\ud560\uad6c\uc5ed\uc740 \uc774\uc804 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 ISM \uc124\ubb38\ub3c4 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \u2018\uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9(Prices Paid)\u2019 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uace0, \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 50.0 \uacbd\uae30\ud655\uc7a5\/\uc218\ucd95 \ubd84\uae30\uc810 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ub3fc \ubaa9\ud45c\ubc94\uc704 3.75~4.00%\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub0b4\uc7ac \ud655\ub960\uc740 75% \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc870\ud569\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud574\uc654\ub2e4.  <\/p>\n<p>FOMC \ud22c\ud45c\uad8c\uc790\uc778 \ub85c\ub9ac \ub85c\uac74 \ub308\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc548\uc815\uc744 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ubca0\uc2a4 \ud574\ub9e5, \ub2d0 \uce74\uc2dc\uce74\ub9ac \ub4f1 \ub2e4\ub978 \ub450 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 4\uc6d4 29\uc77c \ud68c\uc758 \ud6c4 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0 \u2018\uc644\ud654 \ud3b8\ud5a5(easing bias)\u2019\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ubc18\ub300\ud55c \uc778\uc0ac\ub85c \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub9ac\uce58\uba3c\ub4dc \uc5f0\uc740\uc758 \ud1b0 \ubc14\ud0a8(2027\ub144 \ud22c\ud45c\uad8c), \uac10\ub3c5 \ub2f4\ub2f9 \ubd80\uc758\uc7a5 \ubbf8\uc178 \ubcf4\uba3c, \uc0cc\ud504\ub780\uc2dc\uc2a4\ucf54 \uc5f0\uc740\uc758 \uba54\ub9ac \ub370\uc77c\ub9ac(2027\ub144 \ud22c\ud45c\uad8c), \uce94\uc790\uc2a4\uc2dc\ud2f0 \uc5f0\uc740\uc758 \uc81c\ud504 \uc288\ubbf8\ub4dc(\ube44\ud22c\ud45c\uad8c) \ub4f1\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc548\uc815\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 5\uc6d4 CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144\ub3d9\uc6d4\ub300\ube44 3.1%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc654\uace0, \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 19\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub77c\ub294 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\ubd81\uacfc \ucd5c\uadfc ISM \uc124\ubb38 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uacbd\uae30\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \uae30\uc900 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 80%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9(repricing)\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc5d0 \uac15\ud55c \uc6b0\ud638 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810: \u2018\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\u2019 \ud50c\ub808\uc774\ubd81\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \uc8fc\ubaa9<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub098 \uc5d4\ud654\ucc98\ub7fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub77c\ud0c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer)\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \ud50c\ub808\uc774\ubd81\uc740 \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uad00\ucc30\ub410\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 2023\ub144 \ub9d0~2024\ub144 \ucd08 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc644\uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub358 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ud328\ud134\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uc644\ud654 \uc804\ud658(pivot)\uc744 \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc740 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uace0\uc6a9 \uc815\uccb4\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\u201d \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\ubd81+ISM\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\ub860\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ub9d0 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 75% \ubc18\uc601, \ub85c\uac74\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ud30c. \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc720\ud6a8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47725,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49326","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uace0\uc6a9 \uc815\uccb4\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\u201d \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\ubd81+ISM\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\ub860\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ub9d0 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 75% \ubc18\uc601, \ub85c\uac74\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ud30c. 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content=\"\uc5f0\uc900 \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\ubd81 \u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\u2026\uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uacac\uc870\u201d \uc18d \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\uace0\uc6a9 \uc815\uccb4\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\u201d \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\ubd81+ISM\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\ub860\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ub9d0 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 75% \ubc18\uc601, \ub85c\uac74\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ud30c. \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc720\ud6a8.\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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