{"id":49295,"date":"2026-06-04T04:46:56","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T04:46:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94-%eb%8a%98%eb%a9%b0-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd\/"},"modified":"2026-06-04T04:46:56","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T04:46:56","slug":"%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94-%eb%8a%98%eb%a9%b0-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94-%eb%8a%98%eb%a9%b0-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \ub298\uba70 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d\u2026\ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c GDP\ub3c4 \uc555\ubc15"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 0.70% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \uac04 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c, AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 0.7181 \ubd80\uadfc \uace0\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 0.7128\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uc911\ubd80\uc0ac\ub839\ubd80(CENTCOM)\ub294 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \ubc1c\uc0ac \uae30\uc9c0\uc640 \uae30\ub8b0 \ubd80\uc124\uc744 \uc900\ube44 \uc911\uc778 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 \uc774\ub780 \ubcf4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc744 \ud0c0\uaca9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9(\ucfe0\uc6e8\uc774\ud2b8, \uc544\ub78d\uc5d0\ubbf8\ub9ac\ud2b8(UAE), \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544 \ub0b4 \ubbf8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud0c0\uaca9 \ud3ec\ud568) \uc774\ud6c4 \ucf00\u0634\u0645(Qeshm) \uc12c\ub3c4 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uc0bc\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 ADP \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\uc740 12\ub9cc2000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58(11\ub9cc7000\uba85)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uace0, JOLTS \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218\ub3c4 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PMI\ub294 53.6\uc5d0\uc11c 54.5\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218(Prices Paid)\ub294 70.7\uc5d0\uc11c 71.3\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP\uac00 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.9%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.3%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub3fc \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(0.5%)\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 4\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0\uc640 \ubbf8\uc178 \ubd88\ub85d \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA) \ucd1d\uc7ac \uc5f0\uc124\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7130 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.7117 \ubc0f 0.7111, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.7158 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. RSI(14)\ub294 \uc911\ubc18 40\ub300 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uac70\uc2dc \ubd88\uade0\ud615\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uad00\ub828 \ucda9\ub3cc\ub85c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ucc98\ub7fc \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\uc751\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\uc0c1 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc785\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub3fc \uc654\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\ucd08 \uc5ec\uac74\ub3c4 AUD\/USD \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc ADP \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\ud45c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc11c\ub450\ub97c \uc720\uc778\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \uc77c\ubd80 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \u201c\ub2e4\uc18c \uc644\ud654\uc801(a bit loose)\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc\ub294 0.3%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce5c GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc678\ubd80 \ucda9\uaca9 \uc774\uc804\ubd80\ud130 \uacbd\uae30 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uc5f0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ucde8\uc57d \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uacf5\uc2dd \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 49.5\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub3fc \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud65c\ub3d9\uc758 \uc704\ucd95(\uc218\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74)\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \ub4f1 \ud575\uc2ec \ud638\uc8fc \uc218\ucd9c\ud488 \uc218\uc694\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uacb0\ub418\uba70, \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud1a4\ub2f9 105\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 AUD\uc5d0 \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\ub294 15\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ud65c\uc6a9\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\uba70, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \uc2e4\ud589\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc218\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 0.7111 \ud558\ud68c\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \uc190\uc775\uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc57d\uc138 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(put spread) \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc555\ucd95 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \ubc1c\ud45c \ub610\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \ucd94\uac00 \ub274\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub46c\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \uc57d\uc138\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc7a5\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uc774\ud0c8\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\ub3c4 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc 0.7158 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ucda9\ub3cc \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub85c \u2018\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\u2019 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uae09\uc99d, AUD\/USD 0.70% \uae09\ub77d. \u7f8e \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc9c0\ud45c \uac15\uc138 vs \ud638\uc8fc GDP \ub454\ud654, \uc911\uad6d \ubd80\uc9c4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\uccd0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47785,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49295","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49295"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49295\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47785"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49295"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49295"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49295"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}