\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 EUR\/USD \uc555\ubc15<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc804\uc77c \uac70\uc758 \ubcf4\ud569\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uadf8\ub9b0\ubc31) \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1607 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 99.45 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc804\uc77c \ub300\ube44 0.25% \uc0c1\uc2b9, \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubbf8\uad6d \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 5\uc6d4 ADP \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\uc740 12\ub9cc2000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 4\uc6d4(10\ub9cc5000\uba85) \ub300\ube44 \ud655\ub300\ub410\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(11\ub9cc7000\uba85)\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 2025\ub144 1\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 53.6\uc5d0\uc11c 54.5\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(53.8)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uc73c\ub098, S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI \ud655\uc815\uce58\ub294 50.9\uc5d0\uc11c 50.7\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uae30\ub300\uce58(51)\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub2ec\uac04 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uae30\uc815\uc0ac\uc2e4\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, CME FedWatch\ub294 12\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 40%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc778\uadfc \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc810\uac80\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc608\ube44\uce58 \uae30\uc900 5\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.2%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c(2023\ub144 9\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0) ECB\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\ub3c4 2.5%\ub85c \uac00\uc18d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub85c\uc774\ud130 \uc124\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8 80\uba85 \uc911 74\uba85\uc774 6\uc6d4 ECB \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc608\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 2.25%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 EUR\/USD\ub97c 1.1600\uc120 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 54.5\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uad00\ub9dd \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 ECB\uac00 \uc790\uccb4\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc555\ubc15\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubbf8\uad6d \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae30\uc874 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc14\uafc0 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 40%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \uacac\uace0\ud55c \uae30\uc800 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub610\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub300\uc11c\uc591 \uac74\ub108\ud3b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 3.2%\ub85c \ucc0d\ud788\uba70 ECB\uc758 \ub300\uc751 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uae30\uc815\uc0ac\uc2e4\ub85c \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc5ec\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc740 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 90%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc774\uac83\uc774 \u2018\ub2e8\ubc1c\uc131\u2019 \uc870\uc815\uc778\uc9c0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc758 \uc2dc\uc791\uc778\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \ud798\uc774 \ub9de\uc11c\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc 13 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 VIX \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uc774\ub4ef \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc548\uc77c\ud568\uc774 \ub192\uc544 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc740 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud55c \ud3b8\uc774\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ub3cc\ud30c\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uacbd\uc6b0\ub97c \uaca8\ub0e5\ud574 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub4f1 EUR\/USD \ub871 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub610\ud55c \uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc720\uac00\uc5d0 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ub354\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc8fc\ubcc0 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c\uc758 \ud53c\ub09c \uc218\uc694(\ud50c\ub77c\uc774\ud2b8 \ud22c \uc138\uc774\ud504\ud2f0)\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uadf8\ub9b0\ubc31\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4(\ud5e4\ub4dc\uc708\ub4dc)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c \u2018\ub20c\ub9bc\u2019\u2026\ubbf8 ADP\u00b7ISM \ud638\uc870\uc640 \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 DXY\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0, EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1600\uc120 \uc555\ubc15. ECB 6\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uae30\uc815\uc0ac\uc2e4, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \uc635\uc158\uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49274","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49274"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49274\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49274"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49274"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49274"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}