{"id":49247,"date":"2026-06-03T15:46:47","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T15:46:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%ea%b3%a0%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d-%ec%86%8d-rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-4-35-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T15:46:47","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T15:46:47","slug":"%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%ea%b3%a0%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d-%ec%86%8d-rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-4-35-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%ea%b3%a0%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d-%ec%86%8d-rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-4-35-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\uace0\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc18d RBA, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 4.35% \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 4.35%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uc73c\uba70, \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 8\ub300 1\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc804\ub144\ub3c4\uc758 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9b0 \uc870\uce58\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc GDP \uc131\uc7a5\uc138 \ub454\ud654, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc644\ud654, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub0c9\uac01\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a4\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc784\uae08\uc740 \uc815\uccb4(stagnant) \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 RBA\uac00 6\uc6d4 16\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.35%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uae34\ucd95 \ud3b8\ud5a5(tightening bias)\uc73c\ub85c \uaddc\uc815\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ucd5c\uc18c 2027\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 4.35%\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub300\ub0b4 \uc218\uc694\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\uc678 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uac00\uacc4\uc640 \uae30\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ud30c\uae09\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ud55c\uce35 \uc2ec\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac\uc815\ucc45, \ud658\uc728, \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 RBA\uac00 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.35%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 6\uc6d4 16\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4(selling volatility) \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc73c\uba74 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c\ub85c \uc18c\uba78(decay)\ub418\uae30 \uc26c\uc6cc, \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacbd\uae30\ub294 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 0.1%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uba74\uc11c \uae34\ucd95 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.6%\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uace0 RBA \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, RBA\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \ub370 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \ubb36\uc5b4\ub450\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub2e4\ub978 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \ud558\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub354 \uae34 \uc2dc\uacc4\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74, \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uad81\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 2027\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4\uac00 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 RBA\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 2\ub144\uac04 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 1.50%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub358 2016~2018\ub144\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uad6d\uba74\uc774\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \ucc44\uad8c\uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd(\uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300)\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc8fc\uc2dd \ubc0f \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(high rates for longer)\u2019 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc774\uc775\uacfc \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.1%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, RBA\uac00 \uc784\uae08 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6b0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud07c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 ASX 200\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc9c0\uc218 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801(protective) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud55c \uc2dc\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cRBA, \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\u201d\u2026\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac 4.35% \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d \uae34\ucd95 \ud3b8\ud5a5 \uc720\uc9c0. \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub192\uc544 AUD \uc57d\uc138, \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ubc29\uc5b4 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47830,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49247"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49247\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47830"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}