{"id":49243,"date":"2026-06-03T14:17:27","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T14:17:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%97%b0%ea%b3%84-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ec%b0%a8%ec%a7%88%eb%a1%9c-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%99%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%95\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T14:17:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T14:17:27","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%97%b0%ea%b3%84-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ec%b0%a8%ec%a7%88%eb%a1%9c-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%99%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%97%b0%ea%b3%84-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ec%b0%a8%ec%a7%88%eb%a1%9c-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%99%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%95\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c, \uc774\ub780 \uc5f0\uacc4 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba70 ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc9c0\uc218 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\uba70, ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 4\uc6d4 53.6\uc5d0\uc11c 5\uc6d4 54.7\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(53.8)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uac1c\uc120\uc774 \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ubb38 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uacfc \uacf5\uae09\uc5c5\uccb4 \ubc30\uc1a1 \uc9c0\uc5f0(\ub290\ub9b0 \ub0a9\uae30)\uc5d0 \uae30\uc778\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud6c4\uc790\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uad00\ub41c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ucc28\uc9c8\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud560 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\uc11c \u2018\uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9\u2019(prices paid) \uad6c\uc131\uc694\uc18c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc9d1\uc911\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc77c\uc815\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5, ADP \uace0\uc6a9, S&amp;P \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\uc778 \ubc14(\uac10\ub3c5 \ub2f4\ub2f9 \ubd80\uc758\uc7a5)\uc640 \ub85c\uac74 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \uc5f0\uc124, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uac19\uc740 \ub0a0 \ub2a6\uac8c \uc5f0\uc900 \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\ubd81 \uacf5\uac1c\ub3c4 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 JOLTS \uad6c\uc778 \uacf5\uace0\ub294 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc120\ud589\uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc740 4\uc6d4 \uc99d\uac00\ubd84\uc774 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud588\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc 5\uc6d4 \ud3c9\uade0\ud68c\uadc0(mean reversion) \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ubb38\u00b7\uc0ac\uc5c5\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc9c0\uc801\ub410\ub2e4. TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\ub828 \ube44\uc728 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc774 \ud63c\uc7ac\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \u2018\uc548\uc815\ud654\u2019\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc911\ub3d9 \ud734\uc804 \uad00\ub828 \uc804\uac1c\uac00 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9 \ud615\uc131\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc555\ub3c4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 19.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae34\uc7a5\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud655\ub300\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 SPX\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\uc218\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud30c\uae09\uacfc \uc804\uc220\uc801 \uc2dc\uac01<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc62c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, \uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9 \uad6c\uc131\uc694\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc CPI\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec 3.7%\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ub180\ub77c\uac8c \ud588\ub2e4. ISM \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub728\uac70\uc6b8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c 9\uc6d4\ubb3c SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ube44\uc728 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc740 \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, 4\uc6d4 JOLTS\ub294 \uad6c\uc778 \uacf5\uace0\uac00 910\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\uc99d\ud574 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \ub178\uc774\uc988\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uae08\uc694\uc77c NFP\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud63c\uc7ac\ub41c \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub4dc\ub9ac\ube10 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 USD\/JPY\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\ub3d9\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc774\uc288\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c WTI \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c \ud55c \ub2ec\uac04 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub3fc \uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \ubc0f \ub178\ub3d9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uace0\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uac10\ub0b4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uacbd\uae30 \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc900\ub2e4\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774 \ud14c\ub9c8\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c UUP \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 ETF\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc774 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ub36e\ub294\ub2e4.\u201d TD\ub294 5\uc6d4 ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 54.7\ub85c \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \uc804\ub9dd. \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \ubb3c\uac00\uc555\ub825 \uc8fc\ubaa9, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7SOFR \uc20f\u00b7USD\/JPY \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \uac70\ub860.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49243","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49243"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49243\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49243"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49243"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49243"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}