{"id":49231,"date":"2026-06-03T11:17:15","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T11:17:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-gdp-rba-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%eb%b6%80%ed%95%a9%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0%ec%84%bc%ed%84%b0-%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%97%90-%ea%b0%80%eb%a0%a4%ec%a7%84\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T11:17:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T11:17:15","slug":"%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-gdp-rba-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%eb%b6%80%ed%95%a9%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0%ec%84%bc%ed%84%b0-%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%97%90-%ea%b0%80%eb%a0%a4%ec%a7%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc-1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-gdp-rba-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%eb%b6%80%ed%95%a9%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0%ec%84%bc%ed%84%b0-%ed%88%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%97%90-%ea%b0%80%eb%a0%a4%ec%a7%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP, RBA \uc804\ub9dd \ubd80\ud569\u2026\ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130 \ud22c\uc790\uc5d0 \uac00\ub824\uc9c4 \uc218\uc694 \ubd80\uc9c4\u00b7\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP\ub294 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.3% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \uc554\ubb35\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc640 \uc77c\uce58\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc138\ubd80 \uad6c\uc131\uc740 \uae30\uc800 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbfc\uac04 \uc218\uc694\ub294 0.95%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub298\uc5c8\uc73c\ub098, \uc774 \uc911 0.69%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130 \uad6c\ucd95\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \ubbfc\uac04 \ud22c\uc790\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2021\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbfc\uac04 \ud22c\uc790\uac00 GDP\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5ec\ud55c \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uae30\ub3c4 \ud558\ub2e4. 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uc740 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 -0.6% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uc131\uc7a5\uc758 \uc9c8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc815\ubd80 \uc804\uae30\uc694\uae08 \ub9ac\ubca0\uc774\ud2b8 \uc885\ub8cc \uc774\ud6c4 \uc815\ubd80\uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uc815\ubd80\uc18c\ube44\ub97c 0.3%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0(\ucd94\uc815), \uae30\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uae30 \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\ub97c \uac19\uc740 \ud3ed\ub9cc\ud07c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \ub9ac\ubca0\uc774\ud2b8\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\uc758 GDP \uae30\uc5ec\ub3c4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubcf4\ud569\uc774\uc5c8\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4\ub85c\ub294 S&amp;P\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c\uc758 5\uc6d4 \uc885\ud569 PMI\uac00 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a4\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, RBA\uc758 2\ubd84\uae30 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(\uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0) \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 1% \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc57d\ud55c \uac00\uacc4\uc9c0\ucd9c \uc18d \uc131\uc7a5 \uacfc\uc81c<\/h3>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uae30\uc800\uc801 \uc57d\uc138, \ud2b9\ud788 \uac00\uacc4\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc6b0\ub824\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ucd5c\uc2e0 GDP\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.2%\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\uace0, \uc18c\ube44\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc815\uccb4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc218\uc694 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130 \ud22c\uc790 \uac19\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uac00 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc744 \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\ub294 \ud328\ud134\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ub454\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\uc740 \ub048\uc9c8\uae30\uac8c \ub192\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc120\uba85\ud55c \ub300\uc870\ub97c \uc774\ub8e8\uba70, RBA\uac00 \uad00\ub9dd\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8%\ub85c, \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \uc6d4\uac04 CPI \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 3.7%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574, \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uaebe\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud568\uc758\uc640 RBA \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uc9f8 4.35%\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc555\ub825\uacfc, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uace0\ucc29\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubbf8\ub8e8\ub824\ub294 \uc694\uc778 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc904\ub2e4\ub9ac\uae30\ub97c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2e4\uc74c \uc870\uce58\uc758 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uaca8\uc6b8 \ub3d9\uc548 RBA\uac00 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0(hawkish hold)\u2019\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub8e8\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ub420 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\uae09(pay fixed) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher-for-longer)\u2019\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc 3\ub144 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud574 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uae30\uc900 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ub85c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc778(\uc644\ud654\uc801) \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 RBA\uac00 \uac15\uacbd \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uacac\ud574\ub97c \ud45c\ud604\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c, \ud574\ub2f9 \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uaebe\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub358 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub7f0 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uace0\uc815\ub418\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc7a5\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300 \uc57d\ud654\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120\uc774 \ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ucee4\ube0c \ud504\ub7f0\ud2b8\uc5d4\ub4dc(\ub2e8\uae30 \uad6c\uac04)\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc65c\uace1\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc GDP 0.3%\u2191\uc5d0\ub3c4 \u2018\ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130\u2019\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5 \uacac\uc778, \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc815\uccb4. \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 -0.6%\ub85c \uc9c8 \uc800\ud558. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub294 \uace0\ucc29, RBA\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47719,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49231","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49231","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49231"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49231\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47719"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49231"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49231"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49231"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}