{"id":49132,"date":"2026-06-02T05:46:45","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T05:46:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-eur-usd-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-hicp-%ec%95%9e\/"},"modified":"2026-06-02T05:46:45","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T05:46:45","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-eur-usd-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-hicp-%ec%95%9e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-eur-usd-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-hicp-%ec%95%9e\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uace0\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d EUR\/USD, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 HICP \uc55e\ub450\uace0 1.1600\uc120 \uc0c1\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798 \ucd08\ubc18 1.1635 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 1.1600\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ed\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc740 \uc911\uc7ac\uc790\ub97c \ud1b5\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0 \uad50\ud658\uc744 \uc911\ub2e8\ud558\uace0 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \uc644\uc804 \ubd09\uc1c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud788\uba74\uc11c, \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c(risk-off) \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ud655\uc0b0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub610\ud55c \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ub2a6\uac8c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(HICP) \uc608\ube44\uce58\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \ubca0\ub0d0\ubbfc \ub124\ud0c0\ub0d0\ud6c4 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uc5d0\uac8c \ubca0\uc774\ub8e8\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc744 \uc9c4\ud589\ud558\uc9c0 \ub9d0\ub77c\uace0 \ucd09\uad6c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uad70\uc774 \ud68c\uad70\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ub124\ud0c0\ub0d0\ud6c4 \ucd1d\ub9ac\ub294 \ub808\ubc14\ub17c \ub0a8\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c\ub97c \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \uc791\uc804\uc740 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc644\ucda9 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud588\ub2e4. ECB \uc9d1\ud589\uc774\uc0ac \uc774\uc790\ubca8 \uc288\ub098\ubca8\uc740 \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uba70 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ube44(\u975e)\uace0\uc815\ud654\ub420 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub354 \ub113\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ub9e5\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\ub294 EU 20\uac1c\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uba70, 2022\ub144 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc678\ud658\uac70\ub798\uc758 31%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uace0 \uc77c\ud3c9\uade0 \uac70\ub798\ub300\uae08\uc740 2\uc8702,000\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\ub294\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc804\uccb4 \uac70\ub798\uc758 \uc57d 30%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>EUR\/USD \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ucda9 \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac EUR\/USD\ub294 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc694\uc778 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ub07c\uc5b4 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uac70\ub798 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8\uc73c\ub85c ECB\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub978 \ud55c\ud3b8\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub780\uc758 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4 \uc704\ud611\uc740 1970\ub144\ub300 \uc11d\uc720 \uc1fc\ud06c\uac00 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc911\ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub3d9\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc 48\uc2dc\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc774\ubbf8 8% \ub118\uac8c \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc790\uccb4\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \ub354 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uadfc\uc6d0 HICP\ub294 3.1%\ub85c \uc644\uace0\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 ECB \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc740 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \ub300\uc2e0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd9c \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ub300\ud615 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uae09\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba74 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud574 \ud558\ubc29 \ubcf4\ud638\ub3c4 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 3~4\uc8fc \ub0b4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 1.1500 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c 6\uc6d4 \uc14b\uc9f8 \uc8fc \uacf5\uac1c\ub420 \ub3c5\uc77c\u00b7\ud504\ub791\uc2a4\uc758 \uc18d\ubcf4 PMI\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc ZEW \uacbd\uae30\uae30\ub300\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uce58\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uace0\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc720\ub7fd \ucd5c\ub300 \uacbd\uc81c\uad8c\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74 ECB\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30\uac00 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>Cboe \uc720\ub85c\ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(EVZ)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc778 8.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uac10 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ucda9\ud558\ub294 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\uac00 \uc804\uac1c\ub418\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub871(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uacac\ud574\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc1fc\ud06c\u201d \uacbd\uacc4\uc5d0 EUR\/USD 1.16\ub300 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \ubc18\ub4f1. ECB \ub9e4\ud30c\uac00 \uc720\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub098 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ud638 \ud655\ub300. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 HICP\u00b7PMI \uc8fc\ubaa9, EVZ \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49132","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49132"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49132\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49132"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49132"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49132"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}