{"id":49116,"date":"2026-06-02T00:16:03","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T00:16:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84-%ec%9c%84%ed%98%91%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ea%b8%b0%ec%88%a0%ec%a3%bc\/"},"modified":"2026-06-02T00:16:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T00:16:03","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84-%ec%9c%84%ed%98%91%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ea%b8%b0%ec%88%a0%ec%a3%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84-%ec%9c%84%ed%98%91%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ea%b8%b0%ec%88%a0%ec%a3%bc\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4 \uc704\ud611\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u2026\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub2e4\uc6b0 \ud558\ub77d \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uba70 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub6f0\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba70 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a430\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 5\ub9cc1,100\uc120\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub358 \uace0\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc57d 0.4%(\uc57d 200\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \ud558\ub77d\ud574 5\ub9cc800\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc130\ub2e4. S&amp;P500\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc885\ud569\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uac70\uc758 \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uad6d\uc601 \uc5f0\uacc4 \ub9e4\uccb4 \ud0c0\uc2a4\ub2d8\uc740 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc774 \uc911\uc7ac\uc790\ub97c \ud1b5\ud55c \ub300\ubbf8 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0 \uc804\ub2ec\uc744 \uc911\ub2e8\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub808\ubc14\ub17c\uacfc \uac00\uc790\uc9c0\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uc791\uc804\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc694\uad6c\ub97c \ub0b4\uac78\uace0 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \uc804\uba74 \ubd09\uc1c4\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubc14\ube0c\uc5d8\ub9cc\ub370\ube0c \ud574\ud611\uc744 \uac00\ub3d9\ud560 \uc758\ub3c4\ub77c\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubc24\uc0ac\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ucfe0\uc6e8\uc774\ud2b8 \ub0b4 \ubbf8\uad70\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \ud0c4\ub3c4\ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c\uc744 \ubc1c\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub098\uc628 \uc870\uce58\ub2e4. \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720\uc758 \uc57d 5\ubd84\uc758 1\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubd09\uc1c4 \uc704\ud611\uc5d0 \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\ub294 5% \uac00\uae4c\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uacc4\uc2ec\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ube44\ub514\uc544\ub294 \ub300\ub9cc \ud0c0\uc774\ubca0\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \ucef4\ud4e8\ud14d\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 AI \ub178\ud2b8\ubd81\uc6a9 \uce69\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ub4a4 4~5%\uac00\ub7c9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub85c\uc18c\ud504\ud2b8\ub294 2% \ub118\uac8c \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. IBM\uacfc \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub860\ub3c4 \uac01\uac01 5% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc84\ud06c\uc154 \ud574\uc11c\uc6e8\uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac74\uc124\uc0ac \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec \ubaa8\ub9ac\uc2a8\uc744 \ud604\uae08 \uc57d 68\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc778\uc218\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud569\uc758\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc885\uac00 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 24%\uc758 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c, \ud574\ub2f9 \uc885\ubaa9\uc740 20% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc678 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc57d 0.3% \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uae08\u00b7\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 ETF \uc790\uae08 \uc720\ucd9c\uc774 10\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 7\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 5\uc6d4 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 14:00 GMT\uc5d0 54\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub3fc \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(53)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uace0, \uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 82.1\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 JOLTS, ADP, ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5\uc9c0\uc218, \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 12:30 GMT \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uba70, \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\ub294 8\ub9cc5,000\uba85(\uc804\uc6d4 11\ub9cc5,000\uba85)\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc911\ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud611\uc744 \ub300\uc218\ub86d\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ub118\uae30\uba74\uc11c, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ubbff\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 13.5 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub450 \uac1c\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1 \uc694\ucda9\uc9c0\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ud3d0\uc1c4\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc548\uc77c\ud574\uc9c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub4a4\ub2a6\uac8c \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc800\ube44\uc6a9 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\uc758 5% \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc545\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\uc791\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc740 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, 1980\ub144\ub300 \uc774\ub780-\uc774\ub77c\ud06c \uc804\uc7c1 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub85c \uc218\ub144\uac04 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uace0\uacf5\ud589\uc9c4\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8 \uc544\ub798, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc139\ud130 ETF\uc778 XLE \ucf5c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ucc44\uad8c\u00b7\uc8fc\ud0dd \uc139\ud130 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uc804\uc220\uc801 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc<\/h3>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uac15\uc138\uc640 \ub2e4\uc6b0 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub514\ucee4\ud50c\ub9c1\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 ETF(QQQ) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 ETF(DIA) \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uc870\ub294 AI\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0, \uc804\ud1b5 \uc81c\uc870\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubbfc\uac10 \uc5c5\uc885\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ub354 \uc194\uc9c1\ud558\uac8c \ub9d0\ud574\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \uc120\ubb3c\uc774 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 60% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub4c0\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uae34 \ucc44\uad8c\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uac00\ud574\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 iShares 20\ub144 \uc774\uc0c1 \ubbf8\uad6d\ucc44 ETF(TLT) \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc84\ud06c\uc154 \ud574\uc11c\uc6e8\uc774\uc758 \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac74\uc124\uc0ac \uc778\uc218\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud45c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uc8fc\uc694 \ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\ud0dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\uac00\uce58\uc640 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc5ed\ubc1c\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c, \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac74\uc124 ETF(XHB) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988\u00b7\ubc14\ube0c\uc5d8\ub9cc\ub370\ube0c \ubd09\uc1c4 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \uc720\uac00 5% \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubbf8 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \ud63c\uc870\u00b7VIX 13\ub300. \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uac15\uc138, \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\u2191. VIX\u00b7XLE\u00b7QQQ\/DIA\u00b7TLT \uc804\uc220 \uc81c\uc2dc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47795,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988\u00b7\ubc14\ube0c\uc5d8\ub9cc\ub370\ube0c \ubd09\uc1c4 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \uc720\uac00 5% \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubbf8 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \ud63c\uc870\u00b7VIX 13\ub300. \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uac15\uc138, \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\u2191. 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