{"id":48997,"date":"2026-06-18T03:53:52","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T03:53:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ec%84%b1%ed%96%a5%ec%9d%98-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%c2%b7%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/"},"modified":"2026-06-18T03:53:52","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T03:53:52","slug":"%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ec%84%b1%ed%96%a5%ec%9d%98-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%c2%b7%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ec%84%b1%ed%96%a5%ec%9d%98-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%c2%b7%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub9e4\ud30c \uc131\ud5a5\uc758 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\uae08\uac12, \uc774\ud2c0 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58 \uae30\ub85d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc0c8 \uc758\uc7a5 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc(Kevin Warsh) \uccb4\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud55c\uce35 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b8 \uc774\ud6c4 2\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc778 4,219\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4\uac00 \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ub9cc\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. XAU\/USD\ub294 4,236\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c, 2% \ub118\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. Fed\ub294 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(\uc120\uc81c \uc548\ub0b4) \ubb38\uad6c\ub97c \uc0ad\uc81c\ud558\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc790\uc2e0\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd(SEP) \uc81c\ucd9c\uc5d0 \uad00\uc5ec\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc73c\uba70, \uc815\ucc45 \uc131\uba85\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud568\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc774 \u2018\uc548\uc815\uc801\u2019\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c Fed\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ub4f1\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \uc124\uba85\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac) \uc911\uac04\uac12\uc774 3\uc6d4\uc758 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.8%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\uace0, 2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 2.2%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 3.3%\ub85c, \ubaa9\ud45c \ub300\ube44 1.3%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2a4\uc651 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 30bp\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 100.57\ub85c 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 1.55% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.9% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(0.5%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \uc8fc\uc720\uc18c \ud310\ub9e4\uac00 3.4% \ub298\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70 13\uac1c \uc138\ubd80 \ud56d\ubaa9 \uc911 11\uac1c\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc740 4,306\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 4,023\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,300\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc774\ud6c4 4,350\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc0f 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<h3>Fed Policy Shift and the Outlook for Gold<\/h3>\n<p>\uc0c8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\uac00 \ub354 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uae08\uc758 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc801\uc740 \uacbd\ub85c\u2019\uac00 \ud558\ubc29\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138, \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc870\ud569\uc740 \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \ud5a5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \uc911\uac04\uac12\uc774 3.8%\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5b4\uc624\ub978 \uac83\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud575\uc2ec\uc801\uc778 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 30bp \uc774\uc0c1 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \ubd88\uacfc \uba87 \uc8fc \uc804\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \uadf9\uc801\uc778 \ubcc0\ud654\ub2e4. Fed\uc758 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uac00 3.3%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uac00 100.50\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc120 \uac83\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uc758 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uacb0\uacfc\uc774\uba70, \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub354 \ube44\uc2f8\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. Fed\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc911 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c, \uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<h3>Trading Strategy and Market Volatility<\/h3>\n<p>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc 4,306\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ubd95\uad34\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc790 \uc6b0\uc704\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\uc600\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \uc9c4\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ub3c4 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc0c8 Fed \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \ud3d0\uae30\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc8fc\uc785\ud558\uba70 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CBOE \uae08 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(GVZ)\ub294 17.8\ub85c, \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc800\uc810 14.2\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacbd\uacc4\uc2ec\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub2e8\uc21c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294, \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294(defined-risk) \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\ud569\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \uac04 60\uc77c \ud734\uc804\uc740 \uae08\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub0ae\ucdc4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc720\ub3d9\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uae30\uc5b5\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc740 \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ucc3d\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \uc7ac\ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574, \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uae38\uace0 \uc678\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud070 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc800\ub834\ud558\uac8c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc81c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubc0f \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud55c\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\uac00 0.9%\ub85c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc628 \uac83\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, Fed\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc6b0\uc120\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \u2018\uadf8\ub9b0 \ub77c\uc774\ud2b8\u2019\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ub098\uc628\ub2e4\uba74 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud558\ub77d \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc6cc\uc2dc Fed\u201d \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 2% \uae09\ub77d\u2026\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc\uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0ad\uc81c\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc804\ub9dd 3.8% \uc0c1\ud5a5, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \ud638\uc870 \uacb9\uccd0 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ud5a5 \uc2dc 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc2dc\ud5d8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47868,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uc6cc\uc2dc Fed\u201d \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 2% \uae09\ub77d\u2026\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc\uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0ad\uc81c\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc804\ub9dd 3.8% \uc0c1\ud5a5, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \ud638\uc870 \uacb9\uccd0 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ud5a5 \uc2dc 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc2dc\ud5d8.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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