\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc218\uc815\ub41c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc640 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ucde8\uc784 \ud6c4 \uccab \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc774 \uc131\uba85\uc11c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud070 \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \ub04c\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uad00\ub41c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc874\uc7ac\ud568\uc5d0\ub3c4, \ub192\uc740 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uacfc \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790\ub97c \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \ud655\uc7a5\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2% \ubaa9\ud45c \ub300\ube44 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uba70, \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP)\uc740 \ud55c\uce35 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 3\uc6d4\uc758 2.7%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.6%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\uace0, 2% \ubcf5\uadc0 \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 2028\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac) \uc911\uac04\uac12 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.8%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uc73c\uba70, 2027\ub144\uacfc 2028\ub144 \uacbd\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ud5a5\ub410\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc57d\uac04 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc131\uba85\uc11c\ub97c \ucd95\uc57d\ud558\uace0 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uc0ad\uc81c\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158, \ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c, \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc18c\uc2a4, \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uacfc \uace0\uc6a9, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c \ub4f1 5\uac1c \ud0dc\uc2a4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc2a4(TF) \uc2e0\uc124\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc804 SEP \ubcc0\uacbd\uacfc \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c \ub3c4\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubcf8\uc778\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \uacf5\uac1c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uac70\ubd80\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
—<\/p>\n
\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 3.8%\uc758 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uad6c\uac04(\ucee4\ube0c \ud504\ub7f0\ud2b8\uc5d4\ub4dc)\uc5d0\ub294 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc2a4\uc640\ud504 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uac00\ud30c\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ub418\uba70, \ubd88\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc\ub9cc \ud574\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub358 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc911 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840\ubd84\uc744 \uc9c0\uc6cc\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c8 27\ub9cc2,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\u2019\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \uac70\ub798\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \ud3d0\uae30\ud55c \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc8fc\uc785\ud55c\ub2e4. VIX\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac 14 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\uc5b4\ub3c4, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc9c0\uc218 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub098 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5, \ud2b9\ud788 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc \uc139\ud130\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 AI\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub825\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uae34 \ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \ub9ce\uc740 \ud14c\ud06c \ub9ac\ub354\ub4e4\uc758 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc804 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ud638\uc801 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
—<\/p>\n
\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5f0\ub9d0 PCE \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c 3.6%\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b0 \uac83\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \u2018\ub048\uc801\ud558\ub2e4(sticky)\u2019\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uac83\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc644\uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc2a4\uc640\ud504 \uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uad00\ub828 \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcfc \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc885\ub8cc\ub85c, \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9\uacfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ud558\ub098\ud558\ub098\uc758 \ubb34\uac8c\uac00 \ub354 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \u2018\uc9c4\uc815\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc758\uc874\u2019 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4. SEP \uc790\uccb4\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c \uac80\ud1a0\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc5d0 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc804\ud6c4\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae30\ubbfc\ud558\uac8c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u201c\ub3d9\uacb0\u201d\uc5d0 \uc548\ub3c4\ud560 \ud2c8 \uc5c6\ub2e4: Fed, 2026 PCE 3.6%\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uacbd\ub85c 3.8%\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658, \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc\uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ud3d0\uae30\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300. \ud504\ub7f0\ud2b8\uc5d4\ub4dc \uc555\ub825\u00b7\uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc \ubd80\ub2f4, \uc635\uc158\ud5e4\uc9c0 \ud544\uc694.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47739,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48996","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48996"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48996\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47739"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48996"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48996"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48996"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}