{"id":48993,"date":"2026-06-18T02:53:58","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T02:53:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%b4-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%84%ec%84%9c%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9e%ac%ec%b0%a8\/"},"modified":"2026-06-18T02:53:58","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T02:53:58","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%b4-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%84%ec%84%9c%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9e%ac%ec%b0%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%b4-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%84%ec%84%9c%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9e%ac%ec%b0%a8\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c\uace0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 100 \ub3cc\ud30c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 99.60\ub300 \uace0\uc810\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c 100.00\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c, \uadf8 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c\ubc94\uc704\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 4\uc6d4(8\ub300 4)\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 12\ub300 0\uc758 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc870\uc815\uc758 \u2018\uc2dc\uc810\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5b8\uae09\uc774 \uc0ad\uc81c\ub410\uace0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3c9\uac00\ub294 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uacfc \uc790\ubcf8\ud22c\uc790\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP)\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\uafd4\ub1a8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc911\uc704 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 3\uc6d4\uc758 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 3.8%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, \ud604 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \ub300\ube44 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \u2018\ub2e4\uc74c \uc870\uce58\u2019\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubc29\ud5a5\ub3c4 \uc778\ud558\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ub410\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub3fc 2026\ub144 PCE\ub294 2.7%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.6%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 3.3%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\uc758 \uac70\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc989\uac01 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc57d 50%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub410\uace0, 10\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 60%\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c0\uba70 12\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc57d 75% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\ubc30\ubd84\ud45c(\ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c) \ub4f1\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c 5\uac1c \ud0dc\uc2a4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc2a4\ub97c \ucd9c\ubc94\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158 \ubc29\uc2dd\uacfc SEP\uc758 \ubcc0\uacbd \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc911\ub300\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \uad00\uce21\ub418\uba70, \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ud658\uacbd \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc644\ud654 \uc131\ud5a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc131\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud654\ub450\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc6b0\ud638 \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uac00 100.00\uc120\uc744 \ud655\uace0\ud788 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ub871(\ub9e4\uc218) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc778\ubca0\uc2a4\ucf54 DB \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \ud380\ub4dc(UUP)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 29\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub610\ub294 30\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uae30\ub294 \ub2a6\uc5ec\ub984(\uc11c\uba38 \ub9d0)\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\uc870\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uacfc \ub69c\ub837\uc774 \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 \ubd88\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ub3c5\uc77c \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud574 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c EUR\/USD\uac00 1.0500 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574, \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5, \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud5e4\uc9c0<\/h3>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc758 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ub294 \uadf9\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc740 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 75%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\ubb3c \uc870\ub2ec\uae08\ub9ac(SOFR) \uc120\ubb3c\uc758 \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4\ubb3c\uacfc 2027\ub144 3\uc6d4\ubb3c \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacfc\uac70 2022\ub144\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\u00b7\uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ub3d9\ubc18\ud574\uc654\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ucc28\uc785\ube44\uc6a9 \uae09\ub4f1\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 S&P500\uc774 \uac70\uc758 20% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub358 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, SPDR S&P500 ETF(SPY)\uc758 \ubcf4\ud638\uc801 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc9c4\ud589\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud558\ub77d \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud575\uc2ec \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc804\ud658\uc740 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 14 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc0c8 \uc815\ucc45 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uac04\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac, \ud2b9\ud788 \uae08\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud558\uba70, SPDR \uace8\ub4dc\uc170\uc5b4\uc2a4 ETF(GLD)\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub204\ub974\uba70 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 SEP\ub85c \u2018\uc778\uc0c1\u2019 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub358\uc9c0\uc790 DXY 100\uc120 \ub3cc\ud30c. 2026 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc5d0 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 \uae09\ub4f1, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\/\uc8fc\uc2dd\/\uae08 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47725,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48993","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48993","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48993"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48993\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47725"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48993"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48993"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48993"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}